Will the average minimum temperature in Texas (DFW & IAH) fall below 20°F for at least 2 days within a 4-day span? (Before 2029)

Kalshi Weather Closes Jan 1, 2029 · $99 traded · $34 at stake · prices read 12 h ago

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The odds

62%Before 2029
  • Before 202962%▲ 1
  • Before 202837%▲ 1
  • Before 20277%▼ 1

How the odds have moved

Before 2029: 65% on Oct 19, 62% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Before 2029 62% ▲ 1 62¢ 69¢ $1.45 37.00
Before 2028 37% ▲ 1 37¢ 42¢ $2.38 95.00
Before 2027 7% ▼ 1 6¢ 11¢ $9.09 434

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: DFW & IAH, Texas

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  • North Texas rain chances increase through HalloweenCBS News · 12 days agoCBS News Texas is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KTVT and channel 11, CBS News Texas offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. North Texas rain chances…
  • North Texas curling club burglarized after grand openingCBS News · 12 days agoAfter years of planning and fundraising, the DFW Curling Club finally celebrated the opening of its own facility over the weekend. But right after, thieves broke into their brand-new facility in Irving, stealing a significant amount of…
  • Will North Texas get a rainy Halloween?CBS News · 12 days agoRain chances will quickly return to the forecast tomorrow night and continue into Halloween as a subtropical jet, combined with the remnants of Vance, moves in. Rain is likely to move in towards sunset on Thursday, as seen on the HRRR…
  • Wonderful Wednesday weather in store for North TexasCBS News · 13 days agoOctober 28, 2026 / 8:03 AM CDT / CBS Texas North Texas has a beautiful Wednesday ahead, filled with sunshine, some clouds, and highs in the lower 80s. We will be around 9° above average for this time of year. Temperatures this morning are…
  • North Texas teen survives brain tumor, helps other children battling cancerCBS News · 12 days agoCBS News Texas is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KTVT and channel 11, CBS News Texas offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. North Texas teen survives…
  • Map Shows Texas Data Center Boom as Pollution Warning IssuedNewsweek · 13 days agoOct 28, 2026 at 05:00 AM EDT Trump Claims GOP Gets ‘49.2% More Votes’ When He’s On The Ballot Angela Gonzales-Torres Takes Aim At Jimmy Gomez In California House Race Trump Visa Crackdown Accelerates, Nigeria First Ebola Case, Memphis…
  • Rain in store for North Texas Halloween weekCBS News · 13 days agoCBS News Texas is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KTVT and channel 11, CBS News Texas offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Rain in store for North…
  • Chances for showers return across North Texas and continue into Halloween ahead of strong cold frontCBS News · 12 days agoOctober 29, 2026 / 8:03 AM CDT / CBS Texas Thursday begins milder and more humid. Clouds will build throughout the day, with a chance of showers moving in by late afternoon. Rain chances rise to 50% Thursday night as rounds of showers move…
  • Have you seen her? 13-year-old missing from North Texas for nearly a weekCBS News · 13 days agoCBS News Texas is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KTVT and channel 11, CBS News Texas offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Have you seen her?…
  • East Texas traffic conditions@KSLA · 12 days agoTraffic alerts and road conditions around East Texas EAST TEXAS (KLTV) - Here’s a quick look at traffic conditions before heading out today. Thursday, Oct. 29, 8 a.m. - TYLER - Hwy 271 near Eagle Creek Circle - Minor wreck. - HOPKINS…
  • Rain chances on the rise for North Texas this weekCBS News · 15 days agoOctober 26, 2026 / 8:16 AM CDT / CBS Texas North Texas woke up to partly to mostly cloudy skies and high temperatures in the 50s and 60s. You'll want to grab that light jacket as you head out the door. We'll continue to see filtered…
  • Video shows deer crashing through Texas police officer's windshieldFOX 26 Houston · 11 days agoA startling crash was captured on video after a deer unexpectedly jumped in front of a Hondo police officer’s patrol car. (Credit: Hondo Police Department) The crash happened shortly after 4 p.m. on Wednesday, Oct. 28 near Castro Avenue…

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions