Canada Consumer Price Index (Dec 2026)

ForecastEx Economy › Inflation Closes Jan 21, 2027 · $2K traded · $2K at stake · prices read 4 min ago

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The odds

2.95%median

-0.2%4.8%

Median 2.95%Middle half 2.65% – 3.55%

How the odds have moved

Median: 2.93% on Oct 20, 2.95% now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on ForecastEx.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Pays	Contracts
Above 0%	95%	$1.05	30.00
Above 0.2%	95%	$1.05	110
Above 0.4%	95%	$1.05	100
Above 0.6%	95%	$1.05	120
Above 0.8%	95%	$1.05	160
Above 1%	94%	$1.06	150
Above 1.2%	94%	$1.06	180
Above 1.4%	93%	$1.08	200
Above 1.6%	93%	$1.08	130
Above 1.8%	93%	$1.08	150
Above 2%	92%	$1.09	180
Above 2.2%	90%	$1.11	190
Above 2.4%	89%	$1.12	220
Above 2.6%	78%	$1.28	180
Above 2.8%	66%	$1.52	140
Above 3%	44%	$2.27	50.00
Above 3.2%	31%	$3.23
Above 3.4%	28%	$3.57
Above 3.6%	24%	$4.17
Above 3.8%	8%	$12.50
Above 4%	8%	$12.50	10.00
Above 4.2%	8%	$12.50	30.00
Above 4.4%	7%	$14.29	30.00
Above 4.6%	<1%

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Canada Consumer Price Index

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Best 5-year fixed mortgage rates - Canada mortgage rates - Ratehub.caRatehub.ca · 11 days agoI'm buying a home As of: November 2, 2026 3:11 p.m. From 2007 - Today As of September 8, 2026, Scotiabank offers the lowest 5-year fixed mortgage rate at 4.29%. For current rate information, check our rate table. It’s updated daily…
TSX falls as financials and miners offset relief from softer inflationMarketScreener · 12 days agoPublished on 10/19/2026 at 10:56 am EDT - Modified on 10/19/2026 at 10:58 am EDT Oct 19 (Reuters) - Canada's main stock index fell on Monday, dragged down by financials and mining stocks, while investors assessed softer-than-expected…
BoC expected to raise interest rates to 2.50%FXStreet · 13 days agoAccording to a Reuters poll, 19 of 34 economists anticipate a rate hike, which would mark the central bank's first increase since July 2023. However, the decision remains uncertain as recent economic data highlight the challenges facing…
Nobody wants to own the Canadian Dollar before WednesdayFXStreet · 13 days agoHedge funds hold one of their biggest bets against the Canadian Dollar since 2006, with traders putting a Bank of Canada hike at about 80%. They're betting on one hike into a shrinking job market, and the central bank's forecasts will show…

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All inflation ›

Economy › Inflation

CPI in October (Oct 2026)

0.2%median

-0.2%1.1%

Median 0.2%Middle half 0.14% – 0.26%

Economy › Inflation

Core CPI in October (Oct 2026)

0.17%median

-0.1%1.1%

Median 0.17%Middle half 0.11% – 0.24%

Economy › Inflation

CPI YoY in November (Nov 2026)

3.66%median

2.9%5.1%

Median 3.66%Middle half 3.54% – 3.77%

Economy › Inflation

October Inflation US - Annual

3.7%median

3.15%4.35%

Median 3.7%Middle half 3.67% – 3.73%

Economy › Inflation

Core CPI YoY in November (Nov 2026)

2.74%median

1.9%3.6%

Median 2.74%Middle half 2.6% – 2.85%

Economy › Inflation

CPI YoY in December (Dec 2026)

3.55%median

2.9%5.1%

Median 3.55%Middle half 3.4% – 3.85%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueForecastEx

Settles onforecastex.com

Trading closesJan 21, 2027 8:30 AM ET

Traded$2K (0 contracts)

At stake$2K

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The full rules are on the market's page at ForecastEx.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions