CPI in October (Oct 2026)
0.2%median
-0.2%1.1%
Median 0.2%Middle half 0.14% – 0.26%
Install
Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (Dec 2026)
The odds
3.92median
-3.506.30
Median 3.92Middle half 3.33 – 4.34
How the odds have moved
Median: 3.67 on Oct 20, 3.92 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on ForecastEx.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above -2.5 | 98% | $1.02 | ||||
| Above -1.5 | 98% | $1.02 | 60.00 | |||
| Above -0.5 | 96% | $1.04 | 561 | |||
| Above 0.5 | 95% | $1.05 | 1.3K | |||
| Above 1.5 | 94% | $1.06 | 1.6K | |||
| Above 2.5 | 90% | $1.11 | 930 | |||
| Above 3.5 | 72% | $1.39 | 350 | |||
| Above 3.9 | 51% | $1.96 | 1.1K | |||
| Above 4.3 | 27% | $3.70 | 1.5K | |||
| Above 4.7 | 7% | $14.29 | 170 | |||
| Above 5.1 | 7% | $14.29 | 130 | |||
| Above 5.5 | 7% | $14.29 | 80.00 | |||
| Above 5.9 | 5% | $20.00 | 20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index
Search ›- Mortgage Rates Today, Tuesday, November 3: Still Moving LowerYou're our first priority.Every time. TL;DR: Mortgage rates eased again today, giving buyers modest relief from rates above 7%. Mortgages for bad credit Mortgage rates are continuing to cool off as we head into November. The average…
- Treasury yields fall as investors await more economic dataU.S. Treasury yields declined on Friday as investors weighed a flurry of economic data and the Federal Reserve's latest interest rate decision. The 10-year Treasury, which is used as a benchmark for mortgages, auto loans, and credit card…
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- Mortgage Rates Today, Monday, November 2: Noticeably LowerYou're our first priority.Every time. TL;DR: Mortgage rates kicked off the week with a drop, but they’re still above 7%. Mortgages for bad credit Mortgage rates are cooling off as we roll into November. However, they’re still above the 7%…
- Americans Are Spending More Money. But They’re Not Actually Buying Much More.Americans spent an additional $113.1 billion in September, but they got little more for their money as higher prices absorbed almost the entire increase, according to new government data. Consumer spending rose 0.5% during the month, while…
- St. Louis Fed's Musalem: Another rate hike needed 'soon'St. Louis Federal Reserve President Alberto Musalem said Friday that firmer monetary policy will need to be implemented in the near future. "I judge that additional firming of monetary policy will be necessary, and soon," Musalem said in…
- Petrol prices set to hit record high under Trump on eve of US electionsPetrol prices since Donald Trump returned to office are poised to set a record high for a US presidential administration just a day before Americans vote in midterm elections dominated by the rising cost of living. An FT analysis of…
- Fed's Key Inflation Gauge Seen Rising to 3.6% in September on Energy Costs and TariffsA closely watched U.S. inflation measure is projected to have quickened in September, pushed higher by costly energy and tariffs, according to alternative data provider Truflation. The firm forecasts that the personal consumption…
- Third-quarter U.S. GDP increases a better-than-expected 3.4% as September inflation acceleratesThe personal consumption expenditures price index was projected to increase 0.5% in September for an annual rate of 3.7%, according to the Dow Jones consensus. The personal consumption expenditures price index was projected to increase…
- XRP Drops Key 2026 Support but Is Not Finished YetXRP is trading below its 200-day moving average (MA) for the first time since August 2026. Although it touched beneath this technical level in mid-September 2026 and twice in October, it was brief and didn't trade below it for long. XRP…
- XRP hits $1.19 low after Binance hackXRP is trading below its 200-day moving average for the first time since August 2026, falling to a low of $1.19 on Friday after a sharp decline triggered by a major security breach at Binance and elevated inflation data. The cryptocurrency…
- Bitcoin Holds Near $80,000 as September PCE Inflation Rises to 3.6%The latest figures showed annual headline PCE inflation reaching 3.6%, up from 3.4% previously, while core PCE inflation rose to 3.1% from 3.0%. Both measures came in line with market expectations, according to the reported figures. The…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions