How low will the 30-year US Treasury yield get by Nov 30, 2026?
5.16%median
5.07%5.26%
Median 5.16%Middle half 5.09% – 5.25%
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How low will the 30-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?
Settled Below 5.35%
The last odds before it closed
95%5.28% or below
- 5.34% or below9%
- 5.35% or below10%▲ 8
- 5.36% or below40%▲ 38
- 5.37% or below10%▲ 8
- 5.38% or below12%▲ 10
- 5.39% or below19%
- 5.4% or below35%▲ 33
- 5.41% or below44%▲ 42
- 5.42% or below13%▲ 11
- 5.43% or below13%
- 5.44% or below1%
- 5.45% or below10%
18 more
- 5.46% or below1%
- 5.47% or below8%
- 5.48% or below4%
- 5.49% or below1%
- 5.5% or below2%
- 5.51% or below1%
- 5.52% or below1%
- 5.53% or below1%
- 5.54% or below1%
- 5.55% or below8%
- 5.56% or below1%
- 5.57% or below6%
- 5.58% or below1%
- 5.59% or below1%
- 5.6% or below8%
- 5.61% or below1%
- 5.62% or below1%
- 5.63% or below1%
How the odds have moved
5.41% or below: 45% on Oct 20, 1% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Last odds | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✗ 5.34% or below | 9% | 2.2K | ||||
| ✗ 5.35% or below | 10% | 460 | ||||
| ✗ 5.36% or below | 40% | 411 | ||||
| ✗ 5.37% or below | 10% | 685 | ||||
| ✗ 5.38% or below | 12% | 1.5K | ||||
| ✗ 5.39% or below | 19% | 1.1K | ||||
| ✗ 5.4% or below | 35% | 520 | ||||
| ✗ 5.41% or below | 44% | 744 | ||||
| ✗ 5.42% or below | 13% | 704 | ||||
| ✗ 5.43% or below | 13% | 535 | ||||
| ✗ 5.44% or below | 1% | 940 | ||||
| ✗ 5.45% or below | 10% | 1.6K | ||||
| ✗ 5.46% or below | 1% | 4.5K | ||||
| ✗ 5.47% or below | 8% | 259 | ||||
| ✗ 5.48% or below | 4% | 1.6K | ||||
| ✗ 5.49% or below | 1% | 1.9K | ||||
| ✗ 5.5% or below | 2% | 2.1K | ||||
| ✗ 5.51% or below | 1% | 2.6K | ||||
| ✗ 5.52% or below | 1% | 1.7K | ||||
| ✗ 5.53% or below | 1% | 716 | ||||
| ✗ 5.54% or below | 1% | 2.2K | ||||
| ✗ 5.55% or below | 8% | 1.4K | ||||
| ✗ 5.56% or below | 1% | 1.1K | ||||
| ✗ 5.57% or below | 6% | 1.1K | ||||
| ✗ 5.58% or below | 1% | 1.4K | ||||
| ✗ 5.59% or below | 1% | 3.1K | ||||
| ✗ 5.6% or below | 8% | 2.5K | ||||
| ✗ 5.61% or below | 1% | 6.8K | ||||
| ✗ 5.62% or below | 1% | 4.2K | ||||
| ✗ 5.63% or below | 1% | 2.7K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Treasury
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- US Treasury Sanctions Eight Canadian Money Services Businesses Over Iran TransactionsThe U.S. Treasury Department has imposed sanctions on eight Canadian money services firms that it alleges have facilitated transactions with sanctioned Iranian entities, including cryptocurrency exchanges linked to the Islamic…
Related markets
All rates & bonds ›30-year mortgage rate this week (Nov 12, 2026)
7.11%median
7.07%7.28%
Median 7.11%Middle half 7.09% – 7.13%
How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
21%Below 4.00%
3.9%4.55%
How low will 2-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
49%Below 3.90%
3.8%4.8%
How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
31%Below 4.60%
4.4%5.25%
How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
13%5.10%
4.95%5.4%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions