US airline fares CPI for October (October 2026)

Kalshi Economy › Inflation Closes tomorrow 8:29 AM ET · $200 today · $4.6K traded · $748 at stake · prices read 2 h ago

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The odds

332.5median

316346

Median 332.5Middle half 326.5 – 339.1

How the odds have moved

Median: 331.7 on Oct 22, 332.5 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Above 318	96%		92¢	99¢	$1.01	491
Above 320	92%	▼ 6	87¢	96¢	$1.04	692
Above 322	88%	▼ 11	83¢	93¢	$1.08	487
Above 324	83%	▼ 4	78¢	88¢	$1.14	686
Above 326	77%	▼ 10	72¢	82¢	$1.22	364
Above 328	69%	▼ 18	64¢	74¢	$1.35	598
Above 330	61%	▼ 36	56¢	66¢	$1.52	472
Above 332	52%	▲ 9	47¢	57¢	$1.75	966
Above 334	44%	▲ 5	39¢	49¢	$2.04	1.1K
Above 336	37%	▲ 32	32¢	41¢	$2.44	718
Above 338	29%	▲ 16	24¢	34¢	$2.94	700
Above 340	22%	▼ 65	17¢	27¢	$3.70	228
Above 342	16%	▲ 8	11¢	21¢	$4.76	174
Above 344	11%		6¢	16¢	$6.25	200

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: inflation, CPI, consumer prices

Search ›

China's October producer inflation quickens further, consumer prices edge downMarketScreener · 24 h agoPublished on 11/08/2026 at 08:37 pm EST - Modified on 11/08/2026 at 08:40 pm EST BEIJING, Nov 9 (Reuters) - China's producer prices rose further in October while consumer inflation cooled, reflecting persistent cost pressures from higher…
China's factory-gate inflation gains momentum in October, consumer price pressures stay mutedMarketScreener · 24 h agoPublished on 11/08/2026 at 09:04 pm EST BEIJING, Nov 9 (Reuters) - China's producer inflation accelerated to its fastest pace in nearly 4-1/2 years while consumer inflation cooled in October, data showed on Monday, reflecting persistent…
China Consumer Price Index (MoM) meets expectations (0%) in OctoberFXStreet · 25 h agoThe AUD/USD pair trades with mild losses around 0.6860 during the early Asian session on Monday. Stronger-than-expected US employment data provide some support to the US Dollar against the Australian Dollar. Traders brace for China’s…
China Consumer Price Index (YoY) came in at 0.7% below forecasts (0.8%) in OctoberFXStreet · 25 h agoThe AUD/USD pair trades with mild losses around 0.6860 during the early Asian session on Monday. Stronger-than-expected US employment data provide some support to the US Dollar against the Australian Dollar. Traders brace for China’s…
Gold gains more than 1% as softer oil prices ease inflation worriesCNBC · 23 h agoGold rose more than 1% on Monday as softer oil prices eased inflation concerns, while investors awaited key U.S. inflation data and fresh signals from the Federal Reserve on its policy outlook. Spot gold climbed 1.6% to $4,129.69 per…
Breaking: China’s CPI inflation eases to 0.7% YoY in October, vs. 0.8% expectedFXStreet · 25 h agoChina’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) climbed 0.7% in October from a year ago after arriving at a rise of 0.9% in September, the National Bureau of Statistics of China reported on Monday. The market consensus was for 0.8% in the reported…
China CPI inflation misses forecasts in Oct; factory-gate prices accelerateYahoo Finance · 34 h agoInvesting.com-- China's consumer inflation slowed more than expected in October, while producer price inflation accelerated to its strongest pace in more than four years, highlighting the divergence between subdued domestic demand and…
China's factory-gate inflation at fastest in nearly 4-1/2 years in October, while CPI rise moderatesBrecorder · 20 h agoChina's producer inflation surged to a 4.5-year high in October, driven by global oil prices and manufacturing costs, while consumer inflation cooled due to persistent weak domestic demand. BEIJING: China’s producer inflation accelerated…
Australian Dollar holds gains following China’s CPI dataFXStreet · 24 h agoAUD/USD rises after two days of losses, trading around 0.6890 during Asian hours on Monday. The pair appreciates as the Australian Dollar (AUD) remains stronger following the release of Consumer Price Index (CPI) data from China…
Mozambique October Inflation Holds at 6.32%The Rio Times · 19 h agoRio Times Markets · Mozambique Mozambique’s annual inflation held at 6.32% in October 2026, a touch above forecasts and almost flat on September. Mozambique’s annual inflation rate, the rise in consumer prices over the past 12 months, was…
China wholesale inflation hits over four-year high as consumer measure slowsCNBC · 24 h agoProducer prices in China grew at the fastest rate since June 2022, accelerating for the third month in a row. The PPI for October came in at 5.7%, compared to the 5.3% expected by economists polled by Reuters. Consumer inflation in China…
Mexico Inflation Report Due After Rate CutThe Rio Times · 20 h agoMexico gets a key inflation number today, four days after its central bank cut interest rates in a split vote. If prices rose faster than expected, the case for that cut gets harder to defend. For US readers, the number matters because…

Related markets

All inflation ›

Economy › Inflation

CPI in October (Oct 2026)

0.2%median

-0.2%1.1%

Median 0.2%Middle half 0.14% – 0.26%

Economy › Inflation

Core CPI in October (Oct 2026)

0.17%median

-0.1%1.1%

Median 0.17%Middle half 0.11% – 0.24%

Economy › Inflation

CPI YoY in November (Nov 2026)

3.66%median

2.9%5.1%

Median 3.66%Middle half 3.54% – 3.77%

Economy › Inflation

October Inflation US - Annual

3.7%median

3.15%4.35%

Median 3.7%Middle half 3.67% – 3.73%

Economy › Inflation

Core CPI YoY in November (Nov 2026)

2.74%median

1.9%3.6%

Median 2.74%Middle half 2.6% – 2.85%

Economy › Inflation

CPI YoY in December (Dec 2026)

3.55%median

2.9%5.1%

Median 3.55%Middle half 3.4% – 3.85%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onFRED

Trading closesNov 10, 2026 8:29 AM ET

Traded$4.6K (7,884 contracts)

Today$200

This week$493

At stake$748

In the news151 headlines today, 1,415 this week

Followed here sinceOct 21, 2026

The rules

If the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for October 2026 is above 318, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions