Brazil inflation rate in November (Nov 2026)

Kalshi Economy › Inflation Closes Dec 11 · prices read 5 h ago

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The odds

4.83%median

4.1%5.3%

Median 4.83%Middle half 4.71% – 4.95%

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Bid	Ask	Pays
Above 4.20%	97%	94¢	99¢	$1.01
Above 4.30%	96%	93¢	99¢	$1.01
Above 4.40%	96%	92¢	99¢	$1.01
Above 4.50%	95%	90¢	99¢	$1.01
Above 4.60%	90%	85¢	95¢	$1.05
Above 4.70%	77%	72¢	82¢	$1.22
Above 4.80%	58%	53¢	63¢	$1.59
Above 4.90%	35%	30¢	40¢	$2.50
Above 5.00%	15%	10¢	20¢	$5.00
Above 5.10%	7%	2¢	12¢	$8.33
Above 5.20%	5%	1¢	8¢	$12.50

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: inflation, CPI, consumer prices

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October CPI report shows consumer prices rising 0.4% as inflation remains highFox Business · 3 days agoStuart Varney breaks down the October CPI report with National Economic Council director Kevin Hassett. Kevin Hassett analyzes the economic fallout, jobs data and Federal Reserve rate options. October CPI report shows consumer prices…
Consumer prices rose 0.4% in October, more than expected, complicating Fed’s inflation fightCNBC · 3 days agoCosts for goods and services rose more than expected in October, providing fresh warning signs for the Federal Reserve in its fight to lower inflation. Consumer prices rose 0.4% in October, more than expected, complicating Fedâs…
Consumer prices rose 0.4% in October, more than expectedCNBC · 3 days agoCNBC's Steve Liesman breaks down the October CPI data. Consumer prices rose 0.4% in October, more than expected
Yields jump as consumer price inflation in October beats economists' expectationsThe Standard 英文虎報 · 24 h agoCity VoicesTrendingHong KongBusinessInternationalRacingLifestyleShowbizSportOpinionGamesePaperBUSINESSFINANCEYields jump as consumer price inflation in October beats economists' expectations FINANCE10-11-2026 22:01 HKTUS dollar banknotes…
Photograph : Consumer pricesLas Vegas Sun · 19 h agoA woman pushes a shopping cart as she leaves a grocery store in Arlington Heights, Ill., Wednesday, Sept. 30, 2026. The Bureau of Labor Statistics' latest report showed consumer prices in October rose higher than most economists expected.
China's factory-gate inflation gains momentum in October, consumer price pressures stay mutedThe Standard 英文虎報 · 24 h agoCity VoicesTrendingHong KongBusinessInternationalRacingLifestyleShowbizSportOpinionGamesePaperBUSINESSFINANCEChina's factory-gate inflation gains momentum in October, consumer price pressures stay muted FINANCE09-11-2026 10:21…
Labor Department to release report on October consumer pricesNPR · 4 days agoGasoline prices are falling, but the overall cost of living remains stubbornly high. The Labor Department reports on October inflation Tuesday morning. Labor Department to release report on October consumer prices Gasoline prices are…
Consumer Headlines: Consumer Price Index UpNews8000.com · 25 h agoNov 12, 2026 Nov 12, 2026 Updated 27 mins ago Most Popular Latest News Colder air funnels in today! ‘He’ll be starting:’ While Vikings are coy about Kirk Cousins taking over at quarterback, Matt LaFleur knows what his Packers can expect…
US consumer prices rise above expectations in OctoberThe Standard 英文虎報 · 24 h agoCity VoicesTrendingHong KongBusinessInternationalRacingLifestyleShowbizSportOpinionGamesePaperBUSINESSFINANCEUS consumer prices rise above expectations in October FINANCE10-11-2026 21:45 HKTConsumers shop for meat on May 22, 2026 in…
Consumer price index up 0.4%Channel3000.com · 38 h agoNov 11, 2026 11 hrs ago Prices are still climbing, and the increases extend beyond the gas pump. COPYRIGHT 2026 BY CHANNEL 3000. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. THIS MATERIAL MAY NOT BE PUBLISHED, BROADCAST, REWRITTEN OR REDISTRIBUTED. Tags Video…
Consumer Price Index Rises 0.4% in OctoberHardware Retailing · 37 h agoAnnie Dameworth November 10, 2026 Industry News, News Share The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.4% on a seasonally adjusted basis in October after rising 0.6% in September, the U.S. Bureau of Labor…
U.S. Consumer Prices Rise 0.4% in October as Food, Shelter Costs IncreaseProgram Business · 24 h agoDaily NewsFlash Insurance News, Delivered. Stay up-to-date on all things insurance. Sign up for our free newsletter. U.S. Consumer Prices Rise 0.4% in October as Food, Shelter Costs Increase Share Article to LinkedIn Motor vehicle…

Related markets

All inflation ›

Economy › Inflation

What will inflation in Brazil be in Dec 2026?

4.44%median

3%5.75%

Median 4.44%Middle half 4.32% – 4.95%

Economy › Inflation

Will inflation in Brazil be below 4.00% in Dec 2026?

4%chance▼ 7

Economy › Inflation

CPI YoY in November (Nov 2026)

3.72%median

2.9%5.1%

Median 3.72%Middle half 3.64% – 3.79%

Economy › Inflation

Core CPI YoY in November (Nov 2026)

2.86%median

1.9%3.6%

Median 2.86%Middle half 2.77% – 2.95%

Economy › Inflation

PPI YoY - October 2026

6.5%median

5.85%6.85%

Median 6.5%Middle half 6.47% – 6.53%

Economy › Inflation

CPI in November (Nov 2026)

-0.05%median

-0.2%0.6%

Median -0.05%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onIGBE, Trading Economics

Trading closesDec 11, 2026 7:55 AM ET

Traded$0 (0 contracts)

Followed here sinceNov 12, 2026

The rules

If the annual inflation rate in Brazil is above 4.20% in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions