Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Jon Ossoff
26%
▲ 1
23¢
28¢
$3.57
3.0K
Kamala Harris
12%
▼ 2
10¢
14¢
$7.14
3.2K
Andy Beshear
6%
▲ 4
2¢
9¢
$11.11
445
Gavin Newsom
5%
2¢
8¢
$12.50
349
Wes Moore
5%
▼ 1
2¢
7¢
$14.29
114
Rahm Emanuel
4%
▼ 2
1¢
6¢
$16.67
Josh Shapiro
4%
▼ 2
1¢
6¢
$16.67
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
3%
1¢
5¢
$20.00
James Talarico
3%
6¢
$16.67
234
J.B. Pritzker
3%
▼ 1
5¢
$20.00
156
Pete Buttigieg
2%
4¢
$25.00
20.00
Mark Kelly
2%
4¢
$25.00
160
Ro Khanna
2%
4¢
$25.00
2.00
Michelle Obama
2%
3¢
$33.33
Jon Stewart
1%
2¢
$50.00
152
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: South Carolina Democratic, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions