Predictions odds The 2026 midterms race by race, the 2028 presidential field and elections around the world, priced by the people betting on them.
% US Dec
7,691 open markets · $13.9M traded today Trending elections markets
Jon Ossoff 19% ▲ 2 JD Vance 18% Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12% Marco Rubio 9% 54 more Gavin Newsom 8% Ron DeSantis 6% ▼ 1 Kamala Harris 3% ▼ 1 Pete Buttigieg 3% Josh Shapiro 3% Andy Beshear 2% Thomas Massie 2% Tucker Carlson 2% Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson 1% ▲ 1 Donald Trump 1% Raphael Warnock 1% Wes Moore 1% James Talarico 1% Mark Kelly 1% Ro Khanna 1% Abdul El-Sayed 1% JB Pritzker 1% Ivanka Trump 1% Ted Cruz 1% Glenn Youngkin <1% Donald Trump Jr. <1% Rahm Emanuel <1% Gretchen Whitmer <1% Nikki Haley <1% Elon Musk <1% Michelle Obama <1% Jamie Dimon <1% Tom Cotton <1% Cory Booker <1% Tulsi Gabbard <1% Zohran Mamdani <1% Stephen Smith <1% Tim Walz <1% Vivek Ramaswamy <1% Greg Abbott <1% LeBron James <1% Kim Kardashian <1% Eric Trump <1% Pete Hegseth <1% Jalen Brunson <1% Abigail Spanberger <1% Hakeem Jeffries <1% Elissa Slotkin <1% Adam Schiff <1% Josh Stein <1% Alex Padilla <1% Candace Owens <1% Tim Scott <1% Mike Johnson <1% Doug Burgum <1% John N. Kennedy <1% Rick Scott <1% James Fishback <1% Marjorie Taylor Greene <1%
Jon Ossoff 27% ▲ 2 Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 16% Gavin Newsom 9% ▲ 1 Pete Buttigieg 6% 52 more Kamala Harris 5% Josh Shapiro 5% Andy Beshear 4% Raphael Warnock 4% Ro Khanna 2% ▼ 2 Wes Moore 2% Mark Kelly 2% James Talarico 2% ▼ 1 J.B. Pritzker 2% Abdul El-Sayed 1% ▼ 1 Rahm Emanuel 1% Chelsea Clinton 1% ▲ 1 Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson 1% Gretchen Whitmer 1% Cory Booker 1% Roy Cooper 1% Michelle Obama <1% Ruben Gallego <1% Chris Van Hollen <1% Jon Stewart <1% Hillary Clinton <1% Bernie Sanders <1% Chris Murphy <1% Stephen A. Smith <1% Mark Cuban <1% Gina Raimondo <1% Zohran Mamdani <1% Jared Polis <1% Barack Obama <1% Phil Murphy <1% Hunter Biden <1% Oprah Winfrey <1% Jasmine Crockett <1% Abigail Spanberger <1% Hakeem Jeffries <1% Elissa Slotkin <1% Josh Stein <1% Mitch Landrieu <1% Tim Walz <1% MrBeast <1% John Fetterman <1% Liz Cheney <1% LeBron James <1% George Clooney <1% Andrew Yang <1% Beto O’Rourke <1% Kim Kardashian <1% Graham Platner <1% Adam Schiff <1% Alex Padilla <1% Adam Hamilton <1% Scott Colom <1%
J.D. Vance 33% Marco Rubio 20% ▼ 1 Ron DeSantis 15% Tucker Carlson 4% 39 more John McEntee 4% Ted Cruz 3% Thomas Massie 3% Glenn Youngkin 2% Brian Kemp 2% Donald Trump Jr. 2% Nikki Haley 1% Byron Donalds 1% Donald Trump 1% Ivanka Trump 1% Josh Hawley 1% Rand Paul 1% Joe Kent 1% Sarah Huckabee Sanders 1% Marjorie Taylor Greene 1% Tom Cotton 1% Robert F. Kennedy Jr. <1% Tim Scott <1% Rick Scott <1% Elon Musk <1% Katie Britt <1% Candace Owens <1% John N. Kennedy <1% Pete Hegseth <1% Tulsi Gabbard <1% Vivek Ramaswamy <1% Greg Abbott <1% Elise Stefanik <1% Kristi Noem <1% Mike Pence <1% Steve Bannon <1% Kim Kardashian <1% Eric Trump <1% Doug Burgum <1% Matt Gaetz <1% John Thune <1% Tom Brady <1% Erika Kirk <1% Mike Johnson <1%
Marine Le Pen 45% David Lisnard 14% ▼ 1 Jean-Luc Mélenchon 13% Édouard Philippe 9% ▲ 1 42 more Christine Lagarde 6% ▼ 1 Teddy Riner 3% Raphaël Glucksmann 2% Jordan Bardella 2% Dominique de Villepin 2% François Hollande 2% Bruno Retailleau 1% ▲ 1 Gabriel Attal <1% Éric Zemmour <1% Sébastien Lecornu <1% François Baroin <1% Xavier Bertrand <1% Laurent Wauquiez <1% François Ruffin <1% Marine Tondelier <1% Fabien Roussel <1% Olivier Faure <1% Ségolène Royal <1% François Asselineau <1% Clémentine Autain <1% Nicolas Dupont-Aignan <1% Michel Barnier <1% Valérie Pécresse <1% François Bayrou <1% Élisabeth Borne <1% Yaël Braun-Pivet <1% Jean Castex <1% Gérald Darmanin <1% Carole Delga <1% Bernard Cazeneuve <1% Manuel Bompard <1% Mathilde Panot <1% Sarah Knafo <1% Juan Branco <1% Clémence Guetté <1% Karim Bouamrane <1% Lucie Castets <1% Yannick Jadot <1% Marion Maréchal <1% Natacha Polony <1% Anasse Kazib <1% Sylvain Durif <1%
Gadi Eizenkot 63% ▼ 1 Benjamin Netanyahu 25% ▲ 4 Avigdor Lieberman 6% ▼ 2 Naftali Bennett 3% 18 more Yossi Cohen <1% Gideon Sa’ar <1% Israel Katz <1% Aviv Kohavi <1% Eli Cohen <1% Yair Lapid <1% Benny Gantz <1% Yair Golan <1% Itamar Ben Gvir <1% Yariv Levin <1% Moshe Feiglin <1% Ayelet Shaked <1% Yoaz Hendel <1% Nir Barkat <1% Amir Ohana <1% Gilad Erdan <1% Ofer Winter <1% Daniel Hagari <1%
None 98% AK 2% ▲ 1 All 7 <1% ▼ 3 AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, OH <1% ▼ 1 124 more AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, TX <1% AK, IA, KS, ME, OH, TX <1% ▼ 1 AK, IA, KS, MI, OH, TX <1% AK, IA, ME, MI, OH, TX <1% AK, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX <1% IA, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX <1% ▼ 1 AK, IA, KS, ME, MI <1% AK, IA, KS, ME, OH <1% ▼ 1 AK, IA, KS, ME, TX <1% ▼ 1 AK, IA, KS, MI, OH <1% AK, IA, KS, MI, TX <1% AK, IA, KS, OH, TX <1% ▼ 2 AK, IA, ME, MI, OH <1% AK, IA, ME, MI, TX <1% AK, IA, ME, OH, TX <1% AK, IA, MI, OH, TX <1% AK, KS, ME, MI, OH <1% AK, KS, ME, MI, TX <1% AK, KS, ME, OH, TX <1% AK, KS, MI, OH, TX <1% AK, ME, MI, OH, TX <1% IA, KS, ME, MI, OH <1% IA, KS, ME, MI, TX <1% IA, KS, ME, OH, TX <1% IA, KS, MI, OH, TX <1% IA, ME, MI, OH, TX <1% KS, ME, MI, OH, TX <1% AK, IA, KS, ME <1% ▼ 1 AK, IA, KS, MI <1% AK, IA, KS, OH <1% AK, IA, KS, TX <1% ▼ 3 AK, IA, ME, MI <1% AK, IA, ME, OH <1% AK, IA, ME, TX <1% AK, IA, MI, OH <1% AK, IA, MI, TX <1% AK, IA, OH, TX <1% AK, KS, ME, MI <1% AK, KS, ME, OH <1% AK, KS, ME, TX <1% AK, KS, MI, OH <1% AK, KS, MI, TX <1% AK, KS, OH, TX <1% AK, ME, MI, OH <1% AK, ME, MI, TX <1% AK, ME, OH, TX <1% AK, MI, OH, TX <1% IA, KS, ME, MI <1% IA, KS, ME, OH <1% IA, KS, ME, TX <1% IA, KS, MI, OH <1% IA, KS, MI, TX <1% IA, KS, OH, TX <1% IA, ME, MI, OH <1% IA, ME, MI, TX <1% IA, ME, OH, TX <1% IA, MI, OH, TX <1% KS, ME, MI, OH <1% KS, ME, MI, TX <1% KS, ME, OH, TX <1%
Scott Colom 99% Cindy Hyde-Smith 1%
Democratic party 98% ▲ 1 Republican party 2% ▼ 1
Mary Peltola 99% ▲ 1 Sen. Dan Sullivan 1% ▼ 1 Ann Diener <1% Dustin Darden <1% 3 more Richard Grayson <1% Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. <1% David Leslie <1%
Scott Colom (D) 99% Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) 1%
44.5 52.5
Median 52.0 Middle half 51.7 – 52.2
44.5 57.5
Median 45.1 Middle half 44.8 – 45.3
Chuck Schumer 89% ▼ 1 Chris Van Hollen 10% ▲ 3 Brian Schatz 1% ▼ 1 Chris Murphy 1% 9 more Mark Warner <1% Cory Booker <1% Raphael Warnock <1% Amy Klobuchar <1% Patty Murray <1% Tammy Baldwin <1% Jon Ossoff <1% Ruben Gallego <1% Jacky Rosen <1%
Raymond Smith Jr. 85% ▼ 1 Greg Murphy 15%
Chuck Schumer 90% ▼ 3 Chris Van Hollen 8% ▲ 3 Brian Schatz 2% ▼ 1 John Thune <1% 7 more John Barrasso <1% Steve Daines <1% Tom Cotton <1% Amy Klobuchar <1% Patty Murray <1% Cory Booker <1% Mark Kelly <1%
National Party 98% Labour Party 2% Green Party <1% ACT New Zealand <1% 2 more New Zealand First Party <1% Te Pāti Māori <1%
52.5 57.5
Median 56.0 Middle half 55.7 – 56.3
Lula, Eizenkot, Dems 60% ▼ 5 Lula, Netanyahu, Dems 20% ▲ 6 Lula, Bennett, Dems 1% ▲ 1 Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Reps <1% ▼ 11 8 more Bolsonaro, Netanyahu, Reps <1% ▼ 11 Bolsonaro, Netanyahu, Dems <1% ▼ 12 Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Dems <1% ▼ 41 Bolsonaro, Bennett, Dems <1% ▼ 3 Bolsonaro, Bennett, Reps <1% Lula, Eizenkot, Reps <1% ▼ 5 Lula, Netanyahu, Reps <1% ▼ 5 Lula, Bennett, Reps <1% ▼ 7
Hakeem Jeffries 95% ▲ 2 Jim Jordan <1% Steve Scalise <1%
Luca Niculescu >99% ▲ 5 Mugur Isărescu <1% Mircea Geoană <1% Anca Dragu <1% 34 more Lucian Isar <1% Cătălin Predoiu <1% Sorin Grindeanu <1% George Simion <1% Ilie Bolojan <1% Marcel Ciolacu <1% Alexandru Rafila <1% Sebastian Burduja <1% Ionuț Dumitru <1% Elena Lasconi <1% Cătălin Drulă <1% Vasile Dîncu <1% Dacian Cioloș <1% Emil Boc <1% Dominic Fritz <1% Raluca Turcan <1% Lucian Croitoru <1% Delia Velculescu <1% Nicolae Ciucă <1% Hunor Kelemen <1% Calin Georgescu <1% Radu Burnete <1% Șerban Matei <1% Alexandru Nazare <1% Alexandru Rogobete <1% Dragoș Pîslaru <1% Traian Basescu <1% Dan Motreanu <1% Victor Ponta <1% Ciprian Ciucu <1% Eugen Tomac <1% Siegfried Mureșan <1% Adrian Veștea <1% Leonardo Badea <1%
Ulf Kristersson 66% ▲ 10 Magdalena Andersson 32% ▼ 7 Ebba Busch 1% Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist <1% 6 more Jimmie Åkesson <1% Anna-Karin Hatt <1% Nooshi Dadgostar <1% Simona Mohamsson <1% Amanda Lind <1% Daniel Helldén <1% Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.
For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use . How to use Predictions