Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Democratic party
89%
84¢
94¢
$1.07
Republican party
11%
▲ 1
6¢
16¢
$6.25
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
What happens if there's a tie vote in the House?CBS News · 38 h agoUpdated on: July 2, 2025 / 10:33 PM EDT / CBS News The House began voting July 2, 2025, on whether to open debate for a sprawling Trump-backed domestic spending bill, but some GOP holdouts could endanger its passage. With such close…
Hakeem Jeffries faces progressive demands ahead of House leadership voteFox News · 8 h agoChief congressional correspondent Chad Pergram reports on upcoming congressional leadership elections and progressive demands. Jeremy Hunt and Richard Fowler discuss Democratic divisions and the 2028 presidential race on 'The Faulkner…
Hegseth impeachment vote looms as House Republicans privately warn it could passFox News · 7 h agoRep. Thomas Massie is set to force a vote on the impeachment of Secretary of War Pete Hegseth. Fox News' Bill Melugin reports the latest. The House of Representatives is barreling toward a vote on impeaching Secretary of War Pete Hegseth…
Rep Erin Houchin makes her case for House Republican Conference chairFox News · 28 h agoRep. Erin Houchin, R-Ind., discusses her challenge against Rep. Lisa McClain, R-Mich., for House Republican Conference chair on 'Fox Report.' Rep Erin Houchin makes her case for House Republican Conference chair Rep. Erin Houchin, R-Ind…
Far-left Dems put pressure on Hakeem Jeffries ahead of House speaker voteFox News · 7 h agoFox News contributor Mollie Hemingway discusses Democrats' plans to investigate the Trump administration and growing progressive pressure on Hakeem Jeffries ahead of the House speaker vote. Far-left Dems put pressure on Hakeem Jeffries…
Hegseth could face impeachment vote in coming days as House returnsCBS News · 10 h agoNovember 9, 2026 / 11:18 AM EST / CBS News Washington — Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth could face a vote on articles of impeachment in the House as early as this week, with members of both parties frustrated with his handling of the war…
DSA members express reservations about Jeffries as House speakerFox News · 2 days agoFox News chief congressional correspondent Chad Pergram reports on questions over who will lead Congress in 2027 on ‘Fox Report.’ ... DSA members express reservations about Jeffries as House speaker Fox News chief congressional…
Hegseth impeachment effort begins in House, focused on Iran warThe Washington Post · 6 h agoBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. Republican Rep. Thomas…
Democrat investigations will hit Republicans in the House and Senate, Comer warnsFox Business · 3 days agoFox Business Democrat investigations will hit Republicans in the House and Senate, Comer warns Rep. James Comer, R-Ky., discusses potential Democratic investigations, GOP oversight preparations and the possibility of impeachment…
The House the People BuiltThe Chicago Crusader · 17 h agoA house, the house, is built from its foundation. In a democracy, that foundation is the people. On November 3, Americans exercised their power to decide who would represent them, who would answer their questions, and who would help shape…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions