MD-07 House winner? (2028)

Kalshi Elections › House Closes Nov 7, 2029 · prices read 5 h ago

The odds

97%Democratic party

Democratic party97%
Republican party4%

How the odds have moved

Democratic party: 97% on Nov 5, 97% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Democratic party	97%		94¢	99¢	$1.01
Republican party	4%		1¢	6¢	$16.67

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: MD- House

Search ›

The necessary independence and interdependence of the judiciary and the free pressMaryland Daily Record · 18 h agoThe message is therefore clear: A strong independent judiciary is the bulwark of liberty and a free and unfettered press must call out in the strongest possible way any attempt to limit its role to less than what the founding fathers…
Josh Shapiro wins second term as Pennsylvania governorFranklin County Free Press · 6 days agoDemocratic Gov. Josh Shapiro won a second term Tuesday, defeating Republican state Treasurer Stacy Garrity in a race that focused on Pennsylvania’s economy, energy policy and the direction of state government. Garrity told supporters at…
Killin’s Tax Break Explains Residential LiesWayne's Word · 14 days agoPaperwork is a stubborn S.O.B. It doesn’t campaign. It doesn’t knock on doors, cut TV ads, or grin for the camera at a house party. It just sits there and tells the truth. Jessica Killin’s paperwork says she lives in Maryland. Not Colorado…
United Way of Central MarylandMaryland Daily Record · 34 days agoDaily Record Staff//October 7, 2026// That research directly shaped United Way’s 2026 legislative advocacy, which helped secure $20 million in state funding to expand the Child Care Scholarship program, capping parent co-pays at 7% of…

Related markets

All house ›

Elections › House

AK-AL House winner? (2028)

84%Republican party

Republican party84%
Democratic party9%

Elections › House

AL-01 House winner? (2028)

98%Republican party

Republican party98%
Democratic party2%

Elections › House

AL-02 House winner? (2028)

56%Republican party

Republican party56%▲ 1
Democratic party44%▲ 1

Elections › House

AL-03 House winner? (2028)

97%Republican party

Republican party97%
Democratic party4%

Elections › House

AL-04 House winner? (2028)

97%Republican party

Republican party97%
Democratic party4%

Elections › House

AL-05 House winner? (2028)

93%Republican party

Republican party93%
Democratic party7%▲ 1

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onUnited States Congress, Associated Press, Decision Desk HQ

Trading closesNov 7, 2029 10:00 AM ET

Traded$0 (0 contracts)

Followed here sinceNov 5, 2026

The rules

If the House member sworn in for the 7th District of Maryland for the term beginning in 2029 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

The race

The candidates, the incumbent, every market on this race and its coverage: the race on 4Progressives Politics ›

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions