AK-AL House winner? (2028)
84%Republican party
- Republican party84%
- Democratic party9%
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NY-12 House winner? (2028)
The odds
97%Democratic party
- Democratic party97%
- Republican party4%
How the odds have moved
Democratic party: 97% on Nov 5, 97% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic party | 97% | 94¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| Republican party | 4% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NY- House
Search ›- GOP Rep. Mike Lawler concedes to Cait Conley in hotly-contested NY House raceDemocrat Cait Conley won the hotly contested race for New York’s 17th Congressional District — knocking out incumbent Rep. Mike Lawler in a critical blow for Republicans. Conley, 41, took the race Tuesday by 7 points, winning 53.3% of the…
- RAW: NY: HOUSE WINNER / CAIT CONLEYLocal 3 News Showers in the Vicinity Light Rain with Thunder Gusty winds, heavy rain, and isolated severe storms are possible today Democrat Cait Conley defeats Republican Rep. Mike Lawler in New York's 17th district race Man in hospital…
- Alaska and Mississippi Senate races still too close to call, along with some NY House racesWASHINGTON — The midterm elections are over, but two Senate races and nearly 50 House races are still too close to call on Thursday morning. Democrats have flipped both the House and the Senate based on the races that have already been…
- Tonko, Constantino declare victory in NY House racesSARATOGA COUNTY, N.Y. –– Saratoga County residents have cast their ballots for who they want representing them in Congress. Incumbent Democrat Paul Tonko won the race to represent the 20th Congressional District, beating Republican…
- Tonko, Riley win reelection in NY House racesCAPITAL REGION, N.Y. — A pair of congressmen are headed back to Congress, with U.S. Representative Paul Tonko (D-20) and U.S. Representative Josh Riley (D-19) winning their districts, respectively. Tonko took on Republican challenger Ralph…
- Key NY House race thrown into chaos over bizarre issue with voting ballot ‘thickness’A highly contentious New York State race under watch by the entire nation has been plunged into chaos over voting ballot “thickness” — an issue that could mean the winner won’t be known for days. Ballot machines were rejecting the paper…
- Did Mike Lawler Win Tonight? Rockland County Election Results -Lawler Concedes in NY House Swing District to Democratic Newcomer Cait Conley Amid Westchester Balloting ComplicationsNEW YORK — Republican Representative Mike Lawler has conceded defeat in New York’s high-stakes 17th Congressional District, acknowledging that Democratic challenger Cait Conley has captured the crucial Hudson Valley swing seat. Despite…
- Angeli, Syracuse look to carry late-game success into Clemson matchupSaratogian 2026 General Election results for races in Saratoga County Tedisco loses state Senate seat to Rogerson; results from other NYS Legislature races Dynamic duo: Best friends Kogut and Lansley prepare for another Burnt…
- Voting machine snafu may delay results in NY House race between Lawler, ConleyPublished Nov 3, 2026 at 7:57 p.m. ET Malfunctioning voting machines in Westchester County could delay results in one of the country's most closely watched congressional races, which could decide whether Democrats take back the House of…
- A Full-Circle Journey: Brendan Coyle’s path to SienaLOUDONVILLE, N.Y. — Brendan Coyle grew up a short drive from Siena, spending winter nights in the stands with his family, captivated by the atmosphere of Saints basketball. As a young fan, he never imagined that one day he would trade his…
- Inside McNamara’s emotional week: How the grieving coach relied on both of his familiesSyracuse, N.Y. – In the span of five days, Gerry McNamara experienced the death of his father, his debut as Syracuse’s head coach, a wake, a funeral and another game. McNamara spent the emotionally draining week going back and… 2026…
- NCAA MEN’S BASKETBALL: Gooden, veteran core lead Skidmore into new seasonSaratogian 2026 General Election results for races in Saratoga County Tedisco loses state Senate seat to Rogerson; results from other NYS Legislature races 2026 General Election results round-up of state and congressional races New York…
Related markets
All house ›AL-01 House winner? (2028)
98%Republican party
- Republican party98%
- Democratic party2%
AL-02 House winner? (2028)
56%Republican party
- Republican party56%▲ 1
- Democratic party44%▲ 1
AL-03 House winner? (2028)
97%Republican party
- Republican party97%
- Democratic party4%
AL-04 House winner? (2028)
97%Republican party
- Republican party97%
- Democratic party4%
AL-05 House winner? (2028)
93%Republican party
- Republican party93%
- Democratic party7%▲ 1
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions