Will Japan’s inflation rate be above Singapore’s in October? (October 2026)
46%chance▲ 1
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Will Japan’s inflation rate be above Singapore’s in September? (September 2026)
Settled NoA day before, traders gave it 84%.
The last odds before it closed
16%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 22% on Sep 24, 5% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 23, 12 AM ET12% → 1%
- Oct 18, 12 AM ET21% → 14%
- Sep 25, 12 AM ET22% → 14%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Last odds | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✗ Yes | 16% | 1.8K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: inflation, CPI, consumer prices
Search ›- China's October producer inflation quickens further, consumer prices edge downPublished on 11/08/2026 at 08:37 pm EST - Modified on 11/08/2026 at 08:40 pm EST BEIJING, Nov 9 (Reuters) - China's producer prices rose further in October while consumer inflation cooled, reflecting persistent cost pressures from higher…
- China's factory-gate inflation gains momentum in October, consumer price pressures stay mutedPublished on 11/08/2026 at 09:04 pm EST BEIJING, Nov 9 (Reuters) - China's producer inflation accelerated to its fastest pace in nearly 4-1/2 years while consumer inflation cooled in October, data showed on Monday, reflecting persistent…
- China Consumer Price Index (MoM) meets expectations (0%) in OctoberThe AUD/USD pair trades with mild losses around 0.6860 during the early Asian session on Monday. Stronger-than-expected US employment data provide some support to the US Dollar against the Australian Dollar. Traders brace for China’s…
- China Consumer Price Index (YoY) came in at 0.7% below forecasts (0.8%) in OctoberThe AUD/USD pair trades with mild losses around 0.6860 during the early Asian session on Monday. Stronger-than-expected US employment data provide some support to the US Dollar against the Australian Dollar. Traders brace for China’s…
- Gold gains more than 1% as softer oil prices ease inflation worriesGold rose more than 1% on Monday as softer oil prices eased inflation concerns, while investors awaited key U.S. inflation data and fresh signals from the Federal Reserve on its policy outlook. Spot gold climbed 1.6% to $4,129.69 per…
- Breaking: China’s CPI inflation eases to 0.7% YoY in October, vs. 0.8% expectedChina’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) climbed 0.7% in October from a year ago after arriving at a rise of 0.9% in September, the National Bureau of Statistics of China reported on Monday. The market consensus was for 0.8% in the reported…
- China CPI inflation misses forecasts in Oct; factory-gate prices accelerateInvesting.com-- China's consumer inflation slowed more than expected in October, while producer price inflation accelerated to its strongest pace in more than four years, highlighting the divergence between subdued domestic demand and…
- China's factory-gate inflation at fastest in nearly 4-1/2 years in October, while CPI rise moderatesChina's producer inflation surged to a 4.5-year high in October, driven by global oil prices and manufacturing costs, while consumer inflation cooled due to persistent weak domestic demand. BEIJING: China’s producer inflation accelerated…
- Australian Dollar holds gains following China’s CPI dataAUD/USD rises after two days of losses, trading around 0.6890 during Asian hours on Monday. The pair appreciates as the Australian Dollar (AUD) remains stronger following the release of Consumer Price Index (CPI) data from China…
- Mozambique October Inflation Holds at 6.32%Rio Times Markets · Mozambique Mozambique’s annual inflation held at 6.32% in October 2026, a touch above forecasts and almost flat on September. Mozambique’s annual inflation rate, the rise in consumer prices over the past 12 months, was…
- China wholesale inflation hits over four-year high as consumer measure slowsProducer prices in China grew at the fastest rate since June 2022, accelerating for the third month in a row. The PPI for October came in at 5.7%, compared to the 5.3% expected by economists polled by Reuters. Consumer inflation in China…
- Mexico Inflation Report Due After Rate CutMexico gets a key inflation number today, four days after its central bank cut interest rates in a split vote. If prices rose faster than expected, the case for that cut gets harder to defend. For US readers, the number matters because…
Related markets
All inflation ›CPI in October (Oct 2026)
0.2%median
-0.2%1.1%
Median 0.2%Middle half 0.14% – 0.26%
Core CPI in October (Oct 2026)
0.17%median
-0.1%1.1%
Median 0.17%Middle half 0.11% – 0.24%
CPI YoY in November (Nov 2026)
3.66%median
2.9%5.1%
Median 3.66%Middle half 3.54% – 3.77%
October Inflation US - Annual
3.7%median
3.15%4.35%
Median 3.7%Middle half 3.67% – 3.73%
Core CPI YoY in November (Nov 2026)
2.74%median
1.9%3.6%
Median 2.74%Middle half 2.6% – 2.85%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions