Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Democratic party
97%
94¢
99¢
$1.01
Republican party
4%
1¢
6¢
$16.67
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Massachusetts House, Berkshire District, House
Democrat, 19, wins Massachusetts House seat by knocking off eight-term GOP memberNew York Post · 5 days agoHe’s a literal freshman. A 19-year-old Democrat unseated an eight-term GOP member of the Massachusetts State House Tuesday, capitalizing on a historic midterm election that saw formerly safe Republican seats flipped at all levels across…
19-year-old elected to Massachusetts House, knocking off 16-year incumbentWHDH · 4 days agoBILLERICA, MASS. (WHDH) - Daniel Darris-O’Connor may have just graduated high school last year, but the 19-year-old says he’s ready to get to work on Beacon Hill. Darris-O’Connor, a Democrat, unseated 16-year Republican incumbent Marc…
Massachusetts House District 7 Midterm Election 2026: Live ResultsNBC News · 7 days agoVoters in New York's Westchester County have reported issues with broken voting machines at multiple polling stations this morning, with Attorney General Letiti The administration's belated efforts to crack down on alleged noncitizen…
Massachusetts House District 9 Midterm Election 2026: Live ResultsNBC News · 7 days agoDemocratic victories in red and battleground states, fueled in large part by opposition to Trump’s policies, propelled the party to win control of both the House and the Senate. After a historic wave of Democratic victories last night…
Massachusetts House District 8 Midterm Election 2026: Live ResultsNBC News · 7 days agoWestchester County Executive Ken Jenkins said in a video message that issues with paper ballots not going through the scanners is being worked on, and there's " The chair of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, Suzan DelBene…
19-year-old unseats longtime Republican lawmaker | CNN PoliticsCNN · 4 days ago19-year-old Daniel Darris-O’Connor unseated longtime incumbent Republican Marc Lombardo to win a seat in the Massachusetts House of Representatives. He’ll be one of the youngest lawmakers in state history. Iranians gathered at a…
Meet the unexpected winners of this year’s midtermsCNN · 4 days agoWhile Democratic victories in marquee national contests took the spotlight this week, with the party securing at least 250 seats in the House and winning back the Senate, several candidates in down-ballot races across the country clinched…
19-year-old Democrat unseats longtime Republican Massachusetts state lawmakerCBS News · 4 days agoNovember 5, 2026 / 6:25 PM EST / CBS Boston Less than two years after serving as his high school's class president, 19-year-old Democrat Daniel Darris-O'Connor is preparing to take his seat in the Massachusetts House of Representatives…
A former state lawmaker, Clark now ready to help set US House agendaCommonWealth Beacon · 4 days agoUS REP. KATHERINE CLARK and fellow Democrats eyeing leadership roles in the US House and Senate will be busy over the next several weeks solidifying an agenda they hope will help the party hold onto, and possibly expand, its base of…
Kansas U.S. House Midterm Election 2026: Live ResultsNBC News · 3 days agoThe expected vote is the total number of votes that are expected in a given race once all votes are counted. This number is an estimate and is based on several different factors, including information ... After a historic wave of…
DSA members express reservations about Jeffries as House speakerFox News · 2 days agoFox News chief congressional correspondent Chad Pergram reports on questions over who will lead Congress in 2027 on ‘Fox Report.’ ... DSA members express reservations about Jeffries as House speaker Fox News chief congressional…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions