Michigan House District 46 winner? (2028)

Kalshi Elections › House Closes Nov 7, 2029 · $30 traded · $30 at stake · prices read 10 h ago

The odds

61%Democratic party

Democratic party61%
Republican party38%

How the odds have moved

Democratic party: 60% on Nov 3, 61% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Democratic party	61%		56¢	65¢	$1.54	50.00
Republican party	38%		33¢	42¢	$2.38

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Michigan House District, House District

Search ›

Illinois House District 6 Midterm Election 2026: Live ResultsNBC News · 3 days agoThe Illinois House District 6 race has shifted 20 points toward Democrats compared with the 2024 presidential election. See the county-by-county breakdown below. Shift to Democrats Shift to ... After a historic wave of Democratic victories…
New Jersey House District 9 Midterm Election 2026: Live ResultsNBC News · 3 days agoThe New Jersey House District 9 race has shifted 36.1 points toward Democrats compared with the 2024 presidential election. See the county-by-county breakdown below. Shift to Democrats Shift to ... After a historic wave of Democratic…
New Jersey House District 8 Midterm Election 2026: Live ResultsNBC News · 3 days agoThe New Jersey House District 8 race has shifted 59.53 points toward Democrats compared with the 2024 presidential election. See the county-by-county breakdown below. Shift to Democrats Shift to ... After a historic wave of Democratic…
New Jersey House District 1 Midterm Election 2026: Live ResultsNBC News · 3 days agoThe New Jersey House District 1 race has shifted 21.74 points toward Democrats compared with the 2024 presidential election. See the county-by-county breakdown below. Shift to Democrats Shift to ... After a historic wave of Democratic…
John Fitzgerald Wins 83rd Michigan House District ReelectionHoodline · 5 days agoFitzgerald, who currently serves as House Democratic floor leader, was first elected to the state House in 2022, according to MLive. Before heading to Lansing, he served on the Wyoming City Council and holds a degree from Michigan State…
Michigan House District 5 Midterm Election 2026: Live ResultsNBC News · 7 days agoNBC News Michigan House District 5 General Election Results 2026 House 5 County Results See how votes are shifting as results come in across Michigan District 5. Arrow size indicates shift magnitude Vote-shift comparisons are shown once…
Florida House District 15 Midterm Election 2026: Live ResultsNBC News · 3 days agoDemocratic victories in red and battleground states, fueled in large part by opposition to Trump’s policies, propelled the party to win control of both the House and the Senate. After a historic wave of Democratic victories last night…
Moss wins Michigan House District 89 over ZickusGrand Haven Tribune · 5 days agoHOLLAND — Latin Americans United for Progress (LAUP), in partnership with the Holland Museum… The Holland Audubon Club will host John Fleming for a presentation, “In Search of Michigan B… ALLENDALE — For the past two months, Grand Valley…
Michigan House District 7 Midterm Election 2026: Live ResultsNBC News · 6 days agoThe official Coconino County, Arizona, X account posted today that horses were headed to prepare for voters at the Havasupai Community Center in Supai Village, Baleigh Epps, 18, and JaÃ Jack, 19, said they needed three tries and 3Â½ hours…
Kentucky House District 1 Midterm Election 2026: Live ResultsNBC News · 4 days agoDemocratic victories in red and battleground states, fueled in large part by opposition to Trump’s policies, propelled the party to win control of both the House and the Senate. After a historic wave of Democratic victories last night…
Jennifer Conlin wins reelection to Michigan House District 48The Michigan Daily · 6 days agoThe Michigan Daily The victory secures Conlin a third term in the state House. She was first elected in 2022 and defeated Ignatowski in 2024 with 51.5% of the vote. The district includes north Ann Arbor and the village of Pinckney, along…
Joe Moss projected to win Michigan House District 89 over Meegan ZickusGrand Haven Tribune · 6 days agoHOLLAND — Hope College’s Big Read Lakeshore program will host several free, community events… ALLENDALE — For the past two months, Grand Valley State University has experienced an unusua… The Big Three domestic automakers reported…

Related markets

All house ›

Elections › House

Michigan House District 1 winner? (2028)

97%Democratic party

Democratic party97%
Republican party4%

Elections › House

Michigan House District 2 winner? (2028)

74%Democratic party

Democratic party74%
Republican party25%

Elections › House

Michigan House District 5 winner? (2028)

97%Democratic party

Democratic party97%
Republican party4%

Elections › House

Michigan House District 6 winner? (2028)

97%Democratic party

Democratic party97%
Republican party4%

Elections › House

Michigan House District 7 winner? (2028)

97%Democratic party

Democratic party97%
Republican party4%

Elections › House

Michigan House District 8 winner? (2028)

97%Democratic party

Democratic party97%
Republican party4%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onMichigan Department of State, Bureau of Elections, Associated Press, NBC News

Trading closesNov 7, 2029 10:00 AM ET

Traded$30 (50 contracts)

At stake$30

Followed here sinceOct 30, 2026

The rules

If the Democratic Party wins the 2028 general election for Michigan House District 46, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions