Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Democratic party
97%
94¢
99¢
$1.01
Republican party
4%
1¢
6¢
$16.67
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
New York House District 18 Midterm Election 2026: Live ResultsNBC News · 2 days agoThe New York House District 18 race has shifted 22.46 points toward Democrats compared with the 2024 presidential election. See the county-by-county breakdown below. Shift to Democrats Shift to ... Trump signed a proclamation today to…
Illinois House District 6 Midterm Election 2026: Live ResultsNBC News · 3 days agoThe Illinois House District 6 race has shifted 20 points toward Democrats compared with the 2024 presidential election. See the county-by-county breakdown below. Shift to Democrats Shift to ... After a historic wave of Democratic victories…
New Jersey House District 9 Midterm Election 2026: Live ResultsNBC News · 3 days agoThe New Jersey House District 9 race has shifted 36.1 points toward Democrats compared with the 2024 presidential election. See the county-by-county breakdown below. Shift to Democrats Shift to ... After a historic wave of Democratic…
New Jersey House District 8 Midterm Election 2026: Live ResultsNBC News · 3 days agoThe New Jersey House District 8 race has shifted 59.53 points toward Democrats compared with the 2024 presidential election. See the county-by-county breakdown below. Shift to Democrats Shift to ... After a historic wave of Democratic…
New Jersey House District 1 Midterm Election 2026: Live ResultsNBC News · 3 days agoThe New Jersey House District 1 race has shifted 21.74 points toward Democrats compared with the 2024 presidential election. See the county-by-county breakdown below. Shift to Democrats Shift to ... After a historic wave of Democratic…
Florida House District 15 Midterm Election 2026: Live ResultsNBC News · 3 days agoDemocratic victories in red and battleground states, fueled in large part by opposition to Trump’s policies, propelled the party to win control of both the House and the Senate. After a historic wave of Democratic victories last night…
Kentucky House District 1 Midterm Election 2026: Live ResultsNBC News · 4 days agoDemocratic victories in red and battleground states, fueled in large part by opposition to Trump’s policies, propelled the party to win control of both the House and the Senate. After a historic wave of Democratic victories last night…
John Martin wins reelection to Missouri House District 44KOMU 8 · 6 days agoCloudy. Highs in the upper 50s.. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the middle 40s. COLUMBIA — Republican incumbent John Martin won reelection to Missouri House District 44 on Tuesday, defeating Democratic challenger Rebecca "Bekki" Brewer. Martin, a…
Missouri House District 4 Midterm Election 2026: Live ResultsNBC News · 7 days agoGet live 2026 election results as midterm voters decide who will be chosen to represent Missouri's House District 4 for the next two years. Missouri House District 4 General Election Results 2026 House 4 County Results See how votes are…
Jake Teshka declared winner in Indiana House District 7 race@16NewsNow · 3 days agoTeshka defeated Democrat Oliver Davis by fewer than 250 votes in the close race, according to the Associated Press. The race was too close to be called for several days. According to the AP vote total, Teshka defeated Democratic challenger…
Tergin takes Missouri House District 59 seat@NewsTribune · 6 days agoVoters have chosen Republican candidate Carrie Tergin as the new representative for District 59 of the Missouri House of Representatives. Tergin ran against Democratic candidate Becky Kroll for the seat, which covers parts of Cole and…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions