Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Republican party
88%
83¢
92¢
$1.09
Democratic party
9%
▼ 1
6¢
12¢
$8.33
59.00
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Democrats’ Blue Wave Secures Wins in Four Competitive South Texas House DistrictsThe Texan · 4 days agoSouth Texas House districts were part of the blue wave in Texas this election cycle, with Democratic candidates securing solid victories that helped their party take the Texas House. These four South Texas districts were targeted to flip…
New York House District 18 Midterm Election 2026: Live ResultsNBC News · 2 days agoThe New York House District 18 race has shifted 22.46 points toward Democrats compared with the 2024 presidential election. See the county-by-county breakdown below. Shift to Democrats Shift to ... Trump signed a proclamation today to…
Illinois House District 6 Midterm Election 2026: Live ResultsNBC News · 2 days agoThe Illinois House District 6 race has shifted 20 points toward Democrats compared with the 2024 presidential election. See the county-by-county breakdown below. Shift to Democrats Shift to ... After a historic wave of Democratic victories…
Louderback wins reelection to Texas House District 30The Victoria Advocate · 4 days agoPublished 1:08 pm Thursday, November 5, 2026 Incumbent State Rep. A.J. Louderback, R-Victoria, clinched his re-election bid in Texas House District 30 with 72% of the vote, the Texas Secretary of State’s Office confirmed Wednesday…
New Jersey House District 9 Midterm Election 2026: Live ResultsNBC News · 3 days agoThe New Jersey House District 9 race has shifted 36.1 points toward Democrats compared with the 2024 presidential election. See the county-by-county breakdown below. Shift to Democrats Shift to ... After a historic wave of Democratic…
New Jersey House District 8 Midterm Election 2026: Live ResultsNBC News · 3 days agoThe New Jersey House District 8 race has shifted 59.53 points toward Democrats compared with the 2024 presidential election. See the county-by-county breakdown below. Shift to Democrats Shift to ... After a historic wave of Democratic…
Button vs. Herbert: Texas House District 112 Race Heats UpHoodline · 3 days agoButton brings institutional advantages beyond incumbency. She chairs the Texas House Trade, Workforce & Economic Development Committee. Button has said she wants to give back to the United States and her community through her service in…
New Jersey House District 1 Midterm Election 2026: Live ResultsNBC News · 3 days agoThe New Jersey House District 1 race has shifted 21.74 points toward Democrats compared with the 2024 presidential election. See the county-by-county breakdown below. Shift to Democrats Shift to ... After a historic wave of Democratic…
Montserrat Garibay wins Texas House District 49, representing UT, West CampusThe Daily Texan · 4 days agoJames Talarico to become Texas’ first Democratic senator in over 30 years 'Feel like I’m dreaming’: Students pour into streets to celebrate historic midterm results The Texan Explains: City of Austin propositions on November ballot The…
Republican Chris Spencer wins Texas House District 1 race@KSLA · 5 days agoKSLA Republican Chris Spencer wins Texas House District 1 race Shreveport City Council District race results are in! Caddo District Judge, Election Section 3, Division F winner announced! Arceneaux, Gage-Watts to vie for Shreveport mayor…
Florida House District 15 Midterm Election 2026: Live ResultsNBC News · 3 days agoDemocratic victories in red and battleground states, fueled in large part by opposition to Trump’s policies, propelled the party to win control of both the House and the Senate. After a historic wave of Democratic victories last night…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions