Number of tornadoes in Nov 2026?

Kalshi Weather › Earthquakes & disasters Closes Nov 30 · $62 today · $996 traded · $877 at stake · prices read 7 h ago

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The odds

33.5median
0300
Median 33.5

How the odds have moved

Median: 50.8 on Oct 25, 33.5 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Above 25 61% ▲ 1 60¢ 61¢ $1.64 1.3K
Above 50 30% ▼ 1 27¢ 32¢ $3.13 507
Above 75 14% ▼ 2 10¢ 18¢ $5.56 111
Above 100 8% ▼ 1 4¢ 11¢ $9.09 88.00
Above 125 6% ▼ 1 2¢ 9¢ $11.11
Above 150 4% ▼ 1 1¢ 7¢ $14.29 62.00
Above 175 4% 1¢ 6¢ $16.67 263
Above 200 2% 4¢ $25.00 152
Above 225 2% ▼ 1 3¢ $33.33 100
Above 250 1% ▼ 1 1¢ $100.00 75.00
Above 275 1% 1¢ $100.00 50.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news

No recent headlines name this market's subject.

Related markets

All earthquakes & disasters ›

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions