30-year mortgage rate this week (Nov 12, 2026)
7.11%median
7.07%7.28%
Median 7.11%Middle half 7.09% – 7.13%
Install
Which countries’ U.S. Treasury holdings will increase in 2026?
The odds
85%United Kingdom
- United Kingdom85%
- UAE82%
- France61%
- India61%
- Canada41%
- Norway40%
- Brazil40%
- Saudi Arabia35%
- Taiwan33%
- South Korea33%
- Mainland China15%
- Japan5%
How the odds have moved
United Kingdom: 85% on Oct 20, 85% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United Kingdom | 85% | 84¢ | 85¢ | $1.18 | 2.5K | |
| UAE | 82% | 81¢ | 82¢ | $1.22 | 1.00 | |
| France | 61% | 56¢ | 66¢ | $1.52 | 27.00 | |
| India | 61% | 57¢ | 65¢ | $1.54 | 1.3K | |
| Canada | 41% | 40¢ | 41¢ | $2.44 | 89.00 | |
| Norway | 40% | 35¢ | 45¢ | $2.22 | 403 | |
| Brazil | 40% | 35¢ | 45¢ | $2.22 | 66.00 | |
| Saudi Arabia | 35% | 30¢ | 40¢ | $2.50 | 171 | |
| Taiwan | 33% | 28¢ | 38¢ | $2.63 | 75.00 | |
| South Korea | 33% | 28¢ | 38¢ | $2.63 | 303 | |
| Mainland China | 15% | 13¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | 8.9K | |
| Japan | 5% | 9¢ | $11.11 | 1.7K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: U.S. Treasury, United Kingdom
Search ›- Hanoi Connects with the United Kingdom: Promoting Tourism, Fostering Educational Cooperation, and Connecting Vietnamese IntellectualsIn implementing Hanoi's foreign affairs plan for 2026, a delegation from Hanoi, led by Mr. Nguyen Van Phong, Deputy Secretary of the Hanoi Party Committee, visited and worked in the United Kingdom from October 30 to November 4, 2026. Hanoi…
- iShares U.S. Treasury Bond ETF declares $0.0736 dividendiShares U.S. Treasury Bond ETF declares a $0.0736 monthly dividend with a 4.95% SEC yield. - iShares U.S. Treasury Bond ETF (GOVT) declares a $0.0736/share monthly dividend. - 30-day SEC yield as of Oct. 29 is 4.95%. - Payable Nov. 5; for…
- United Kingdom drives air arrivals to Spain while growth from Germany slowsThe United Kingdom and Germany remain the main source markets for air passengers travelling to Spain, although their growth rates differ. In September, arrivals from the British market rose by 5.2%, compared with 0.9% from the German…
- A statement in response to Andreas Malm being denied entry into the United KingdomHome » A statement in response to Andreas Malm being denied entry into the United Kingdom By Tariq Ali (Posted Nov 03, 2026) Verso Books condemns the silencing of critical voices and stands in support of writers and scholars who continue…
- United Kingdom Abandons 15-Year Settlement Rule for Migrant Care WorkersThe UK government has dropped a controversial plan requiring migrant care workers to wait 15 years for permanent settlement, keeping the five-year pathway. The United Kingdom has reversed a controversial immigration proposal that would…
- Gold Falls Below $3,930 as Dollar and U.S. Treasury Yields Both Climb; Market Awaits Midterm ElectionsInternational gold prices on Tuesday (Nov. 3) surrendered intraday gains as the US dollar and U.S. Treasury yields rose in tandem, weighing on bullion, while the market held its breath for the results of the U.S. midterm elections for…
- U.S. Treasury General Account Falls $20.8B as Withdrawals Outpace DepositsThe U.S. Treasury General Account fell 20,836 to 930,757 on 2026-11-02, as 316,003 in withdrawals—led by Public Debt Cash Redemptions—outpaced 295,167 in deposits. The U.S. Treasury General Account opened at 951,593 and closed at 930,757…
- European Union open to flexible United Kingdom membership termsThe Portugal News
- Deputy Prime Minister discusses reintegration and United Kingdom’s support for Moldova in British parliamentDialogue on the reintegration process and British support for the Republic of Moldova continued during meetings held by Deputy Prime Minister for Reintegration Valeriu Chiveri in the British Parliament. The Deputy Prime Minister met with…
- Dealers see U.S. Treasury revamping issuance guidance in Wednesday policy statement - reportThe U.S. Treasury Department is considering its biggest revamp in guidance for note and bond issuance since early 2024, with dealers expecting an alteration in the November 4 quarterly policy statement, Bloomberg News reported. Andrii…
- Hanoi promotes tourist destinations and expands tourism cooperation in the United Kingdom.From November 3rd to 5th, Hanoi participated in the World Travel Market (WTM London) 2026 in the United Kingdom, promoting its image, introducing unique tourism products, and connecting with businesses and international partners to expand…
- Tunica-Biloxi Chairman Marshall Pierite appointed to U.S. Treasury advisory committeeTunica-Biloxi Tribe of Louisiana Chairman Marshall Pierite has been appointed to a federal advisory committee that helps shape tax policies affecting Tribal governments, businesses and citizens nationwide. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott…
Related markets
All rates & bonds ›How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
22%Below 4.00%
3.9%4.55%
How low will 2-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
51%Below 3.90%
3.8%4.8%
How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
31%Below 4.60%
4.4%5.25%
How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
12%5.10%
4.95%5.4%
How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
9%5.70%
5.6%6.1%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions