Wisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026
456,512median
445,000465,000
Median 456,512Middle half 454,940 – 458,238
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Average Wall Street bonus in 2026
The odds
$271,691median
$175,000$375,000
Median $271,691Middle half $253,309 – $291,016
How the odds have moved
Median: $278,409 on Oct 20, $271,691 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above $200,000 | 96% | ▲ 2 | 95¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | 251.8K |
| Above $225,000 | 89% | 88¢ | 89¢ | $1.12 | 82.4K | |
| Above $250,000 | 80% | 79¢ | 80¢ | $1.25 | 68.1K | |
| Above $275,000 | 46% | 45¢ | 46¢ | $2.17 | 66.8K | |
| Above $300,000 | 14% | 13¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 110.8K | |
| Above $325,000 | 7% | 6¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 20.1K | |
| Above $350,000 | 3% | 2¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 8.6K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Average Wall Street
Search ›- Intel Dropped 20% Over The Last Month: This Pro Analyst Says It’s Going to Gain 70% SoonIntel has shed a fifth of its value in a single month while its rivals barely flinched, yet one analyst sees a 70% surge coming. The catch is a collision between a crumbling PC market, a foundry business burning cash,… Intel (NASDAQ:INTC |…
- Cathie Wood Bets $9.1M on Robinhood After Stock’s Sharp Post-Earnings DropHome > CryptoNews > Cathie Wood Bets $9.1M on Robinhood After Stock’s Sharp Post-Earnings Drop ARK Invest, the firm founded and led by Cathie Wood, bought 99,418 shares of Robinhood Markets worth $9.1 million after the market close on…
- Amazon forecasts fourth-quarter revenue of up to $247 billion — Channel NewsAsiaIn the United States, Amazon forecasts fourth-quarter revenue in the range of $240 billion to $247 billion. The company’s forecast was mostly below the average Wall Street analysts’ estimate of $244.51 billion, Channel NewsAsia reports…
- LPL shares freefall more than 15% after investors aren't appeased by answers to hard-hitting questions about next act after Commonwealth, or by CEO humor during the quarterly analysts' callLPL shareholders ran for the exits as one analyst after another asked where future growth was coming from amid light-hearted banter over grammar that fell flat LPL Financial CEO Rich Steinmeier joked with analysts looking for guidance on…
- LPL shares freefall more than 15% after investors aren't amused by CEO humor without solid answers to the next act after Commonwealth during the quarterly analysts' callLPL shareholders ran for the exits as one analyst after another asked where future growth was coming from amid light-hearted banter over grammar fell flat LPL Financial CEO Rich Steinmeier laughed and joked with analysts looking for…
- ADP boosts FY2027 earnings, revenue growth after Q1 results beatADP’s ( ADP) Q1 expenses of $4.18B climbed from $3.98B in Q1 2026. Selling, general, and administrative expenses edged up to $1.07B, in line with the S&P Global Market Intelligence consensus, from ... Automatic Data Processing (ADP)…
- MercadoLibre Cratered by 20% Last Year: Two Wall Street Pros Agree It’s Going to Rise 50% SoonMercadoLibre posted record revenue while its stock cratered, and two Wall Street firms now see a path to 50% gains from here. Whether that gap closes depends on a margin story that is still unfolding. MercadoLibre (NASDAQ:MELI | MELI Price…
- SoFi Q3 stock jumps after strong Q3 earnings beat, 2026 guidance boost, new 2027 outlookQ3 revenue and earnings were driven by robust growth across robust loan originations across its three main lines — personal loans, student loans, and home loans. SoFi ( SOFI) introduced its 2027 ... SoFi Technologies (SOFI) stock climbed…
- Equifax cut to Hold-equivalent at RBC amid high rates, regulatory headwindsEquifax EFX stock slipped 1.2% in early Monday trading after RBC Capital Markets downgraded the stock to Sector Perform from Outperform as a recent rally results in a more balanced risk/reward profile, and three headwinds weigh on the…
- Danaher 3Q Net Up Sharply as Company Boosts 2026 Adjusted EPS ViewPublished on 10/21/2026 at 06:34 am EDT Danaher's third-quarter net income and sales rose sharply and the maker of laboratory equipment boosted its adjusted earnings growth projection for the year. The Washington, DC, life-sciences…
- Consumer Cos Down on Oil Price Fears - Consumer RoundupPublished on 10/23/2026 at 05:40 pm EDT Consumer companies fell due to concerns about resurgent energy inflation. The average price of a gallon of regular unleaded gasoline in the U.S. was $4.29 Friday. Another spike in oil futures related…
- Moderna’s Stock Just Stumbled. Is It a Buy on the Dip?You may know the name Moderna (MRNA -1.31%) very well thanks to the company's blockbuster coronavirus vaccine. That was the biotech's first commercialized product, highlighting its expertise in messenger RNA technology. This involves…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions