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Canada Unemployment Rate (Nov 2026)
The odds
How the odds have moved
Median: 6.43% on Nov 7, 6.49% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on ForecastEx.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 5.8% | 67% | $1.49 | ||||
| Above 6% | 67% | $1.49 | 500 | |||
| Above 6.2% | 67% | $1.49 | 800 | |||
| Above 6.4% | 67% | $1.49 | 908 | |||
| Above 6.6% | 30% | $3.33 | 500 | |||
| Above 6.8% | 26% | $3.85 | 100 | |||
| Above 7% | <1% | |||||
| Above 7.2% | <1% |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The same question on Kalshi
- Canada unemployment rate in November (Canada UE Nov 2026)MedianKalshi 6.64%ForecastEx 6.49%0.15 pts apart
Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.
The news: jobs report, unemployment, payrolls
Search ›- The surprising October jobs report will mean more questions for the FedCNBCâs Steve Liesman joins "Squawk Box" to discuss last week's surprising jobs report and what it might mean for the Fed. The surprising October jobs report will mean more questions for the Fed
- Canada's Unemployment Rate Rises to 6.7% in October; Bloomberg Survey Saw at 6.5%... Canada's Unemployment Rate Rises to 6.7% in October; Bloomberg Survey Saw at 6.5% Published on 11/06/2026 at 09:20 am EST Latest news about TSX Composite TSX posts weekly gain as metal mining shares rally November 06, 2026 at 04:52 pm…
- Canada's unemployment rate edges up to six-month high in OctoberTradingView Canada's unemployment rate edges up to six-month high in October
- Latest jobs report shows increase in jobs as unemployment fallsFox Business Latest jobs report shows increase in jobs as unemployment falls 'The Big Money Show' panel breaks down the October jobs report showing 165,000 jobs were added as the unemployment rate falls to 4.1%. 'The Big Money Show' panel…
- Canada's unemployment rate reaches six-month highA help wanted sign hangs in a bar window along Queen Street West in Toronto Ontario, Canada June 10, 2022. REUTERS/Carlos Osorio OTTAWA, Nov 6 (Reuters) - Canada's unemployment rate rose to a six-month high in October with the economy…
- Trump picks E.J. Antoni as new Bureau of Labor Statistics head after firing old commissioner amid weak jobs reportUpdated on: August 12, 2025 / 3:52 AM EDT / CBS News Washington — President Trump announced E.J. Antoni as his nominee to lead the Bureau of Labor Statistics on Monday, after he fired the former commissioner earlier this month, blaming her…
- Canada Unemployment Rate Climbs to Six-Month High of 6.7% -- UpdatePublished on 11/06/2026 at 09:14 am EST OTTAWA--Canada's labor market softened again last month, with a dip in employment and rise in the number of people hunting for work pushing the jobless rate to a six-month high. Employers cut a net…
- Canadian Unemployment Rate Rises as Economy Fails to Generate New JobsThe information contained in this report has been prepared for the information of our customers by TD Bank Financial Group. The information has been drawn from sources believed to be reliable, but the accuracy or completeness of the…
- Canada Unemployment Rate set to hold at 6.5% as hiring recoversThe employment figures take on particular importance after the Bank of Canada (BoC) raised its benchmark interest rate on October 28, marking its first increase in more than three years. Although the central bank has left the door open to…
- Canada Unemployment Rate Rises to 6.7%, Employment Falls for Third Straight Month; Expectations Grow for Bank of Canada HoldCanada's October employment report showed the unemployment rate rising from 6.5% to 6.7%, exceeding market expectations. Employment fell by 4,700, an unexpected third consecutive monthly decline. Full-time employment dropped by 18,100…
- October jobs report exceeds expectationsFox News October jobs report exceeds expectations FOX Business' Edward Lawrence reports on October jobs report and the market reaction to Democrats' midterm wins. Wall Street reacts as the October jobs report reveals 165,000 jobs were…
- Experts react to the October jobs reportCNBC Experts react to the October jobs report
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions