US Unemployment Rate (Nov 2026)
17%Above 3%
2.8%5%
Install
US Unemployment Rate (Oct 2026)
Settled Between 4% and 4.2%
The last odds before it closed
47%Above 3.4%
- ✓ Above 3.4%47%
- ✓ Above 3.6%47%
- ✓ Above 3.8%47%
- ✓ Above 4%47%
- Above 4.2%26%
- Above 4.4%5%
- Above 4.6%5%
- Above 4.8%5%
- Above 5%5%
How the odds have moved
Above 3.4%: 47% on Oct 20, 47% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on ForecastEx.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Last odds | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ Above 3.4% | 47% | |||||
| ✓ Above 3.6% | 47% | |||||
| ✓ Above 3.8% | 47% | 2.5K | ||||
| ✓ Above 4% | 47% | 1.6K | ||||
| ✗ Above 4.2% | 26% | 652 | ||||
| ✗ Above 4.4% | 5% | 900 | ||||
| ✗ Above 4.6% | 5% | 800 | ||||
| ✗ Above 4.8% | 5% | |||||
| ✗ Above 5% | 5% | 700 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: jobs report, unemployment, payrolls
Search ›- Holiday hiring and AI in focus with October jobs report on deckA lukewarm job market may have gained some steam last month, as companies began hiring workers for the holiday season, although slowing wage growth and the impact of AI remain big concerns. The Bureau of Labor Statistics is set to release…
- The October jobs report is out Friday. Here's everything to expectThe U.S. economy isn't expected to have produced much job growth in October, with employers reluctant to hire workers but also not cutting staff amid a shrinking labor force and a growing problem of long-term unemployment. Economists are…
- October US Nonfarm Payrolls Expected to Rise by 65,000, Unemployment Rate Seen Remaining at 4.2%www.marketscreener.com October US Nonfarm Payrolls Expected to Rise by 65,000, Unemployment Rate Seen Remaining at 4.2% Published on 11/05/2026 at 03:42 pm EST Latest news about Amazon.com, Inc. Income Statement and Estimates Lonnie Ali &…
- Unemployment rate rises to 5.4% in SeptemberMANILA, Philippines — The number of unemployed Filipinos rose to 2.86 million in September, up 909,000 from a year earlier and 95,000 from the previous month, as the unemployment rate climbed to 5.4 percent, the Philippine Statistics…
- Unemployment rate slightly up in September | ABS-CBN NewsUnemployment rate slightly up in September ABS-CBN Unemployment rate slightly up in September Your go-to source for the latest news, entertainment highlights, exclusive interviews, and updates on your favorite Kapamilya stars. ABS-CBN is…
- Kalshi Gives October Unemployment Rate ForecastAction Network
- BPS Records Jakarta's Unemployment Rate Dropping in August 2026The Open Unemployment Rate (TPT) in Jakarta was recorded at 5.75 percent in August 2026, a 0.30 percentage point decrease compared to 6.05 percent in the same period last year. Head of the Jakarta Central Statistics Agency (BPS)…
- Delaware’s unemployment rate slips to 4.6% as workforce keeps shrinkingWILMINGTON —Delaware’s unemployment rate edged down again in September, the sixth straight monthly decline, as the state’s labor force continued to shrink. The state’s unemployment rate is now 4.6%, down from 4.7% in August. It has been on…
- The parts of Switzerland with the highest unemployment rates this autumnIn comparison to the EU, where unemployment stands at 6.5 percent, Switzerland's rate is a relatively low 3 percent. But the situation changes depending on the canton where you live. According to figures released by the State Secretariat…
- National Unemployment Rate Hits 9.8% in July–September 2026 QuarterThe national unemployment rate reached 9.8% in the July–September 2026 quarter, up 1.3 percentage points year on year, as the labour force grew 0.3% and employed persons fell 1.1%, with unemployment rising 15.3% and the seasonally adjusted…
- October Jobs Report Preview: Economists Expect 65,000 Job Additions, Unemployment at 4.2%October Jobs Report Preview: 65K Jobs Expected, Fed Rate Hike Odds at 67% - News and Statistics IndexBox New employment data due Friday is expected to indicate a labor market that is holding steady, according to Yahoo Finance. Economists…
- Swiss Market Index Blinks Red Amid Stable Unemployment Ratemarketscreener.com Swiss Market Index Blinks Red Amid Stable Unemployment Rate Published on 11/05/2026 at 11:51 am EST Latest news about SMI Nasdaq Tumbles as Wall Street Picks Its Winners and Losers November 05, 2026 at 09:08 am EST
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions