Wisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026
456,512median
445,000465,000
Median 456,512Middle half 454,940 – 458,238
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Will unemployment in Brazil be below 5.8% in Q4 2026?
The odds
70%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 70% on Oct 20, 70% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Nov 4, 8 PM ET76% → 70%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
- Nov 1, 9 PM ET71% → 76%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 70% | 67¢ | 73¢ | $1.37 | 19.3K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: jobs report, unemployment, payrolls
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- KuCoin Predictions Weekly Preview (Nov 3, 2026): US Midterms, October Jobs Report, Champions League, and LoL WorldsKuCoin KuCoin Predictions Weekly Preview (Nov 3, 2026): US Midterms, October Jobs Report, Champions League, and LoL Worlds US Midterm Elections: Who Will Control Congress? US October Employment Report: What Will the Unemployment Rate Be?…
- Earnings from Apple, Palantir, and jobs report data: What to WatchYahoo Finance Breaking Business News Reporter Jake Conley takes a closer look at the top stories for investors to watch for the week of Nov. 2, including earnings calls from Apple (AAPL) and Palantir (PLTR), with data from the latest jobs…
- Mortgage Rates Edge Closer to a 6-Handle Ahead of Midterms and Jobs ReportMortgage rates continue to build on improvement seen last week, with the bellwether 10-year bond yield now down below 4.9%. That’s the lowest yield we’ve seen in nearly two months, driven by a big October rally in bonds. Of course, that…
- Housing Week Ahead: Monthly Trends Data, Mortgage Rates, and Jobs ReportWith all eyes on Election Day, this marks a relatively light week for new Realtor.com economics research reports and housing market indicators. On Wednesday, I'll be issuing our October monthly housing trends report, taking a look at…
- Stock Futures Rebound After Nasdaq’s Worst Month Since 2025 as Elections and Jobs Report LoomU.S. stock futures climbed early Monday as Wall Street tried to shake off a bruising October and braced for a week packed with midterm elections, a jobs report and Apple’s earnings. S&P 500 futures rose 0.5%, Nasdaq-100 futures gained…
- Economic and event calendar in Asia Wednesday, November 4, 2026 - NZ jobs report, China PMIThe RatingDog PMI data follows official and their manufacturing PMIs earlier this week: The NZ Q3 labour market data is due at 10:45am New Zealand time. After the hold, AUD/NZD jumped to a cycle high around 1.26, with interest rate…
- Virgin Media O2 plans to cut up to 4,000 jobs - reportVirgin Media O2 is planning to cut thousands of jobs from its 16,000-strong workforce over the coming months as it looks to reduce costs amid investor concerns about its GBP 22 billion debt burden, reports Sky News. According to unnamed…
- Gold Price Today: $3,921 on Midterm Election Day as the Bounce Stalls – Jobs Report 6 November, Bull $4,075, Bear $3,830Our Monday gold page called the move a bounce, not yet a turn, with $3,920 as the first resistance. Gold did push through it, reaching about $3,947 by the close, but the move did not hold into Tuesday. The price is back near $3,921, right…
- U.S. Election, Jobs Report and AI Earnings Set a Packed WeekAll 435 House seats and 35 Senate seats are on the ballot Tuesday as Apple, Palantir and AMD report results. The U.S. midterm elections and Friday’s jobs report will anchor a packed week for markets, with corporate results and services…
- US Jobs Report Tests Peso and RealThe dollar has gained about 11% against Mexico’s peso since early September, closing at 18.77 pesos on 30 October, and the next US jobs report could push it further. For US readers with exposure to Mexico or Brazil, the week of 2 November…
- Week Ahead: U.S. Midterms; U.S. Treasury QRA; BOE, RBA, Riksbank and BCB Meetings; U.S. and Canada Jobs Reports; Eurozone, Swiss and SK CPIs; ECB Wage Tracker; Middle East TensionsFrom U.S. midterm elections and the U.S. jobs report to a wave of central bank decisions led by the BOE and RBA and a few inflation reports, here’s what you need to know for the week ahead. 🛢️ On Sunday, OPEC+ countries, including Saudi…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions