Wisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026
456,512median
445,000465,000
Median 456,512Middle half 454,940 – 458,238
Install
Canadian counter-tariff rate on U.S. electric trucks at the end of 2026
The odds
24.41%median
-10%60%
Median 24.41%Middle half 21.39% – 27.43%
How the odds have moved
Median: 26.04% on Oct 19, 24.41% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 0% | 88% | ▲ 1 | 83¢ | 92¢ | $1.09 | |
| Above 10% | 88% | ▲ 1 | 83¢ | 92¢ | $1.09 | |
| Above 20% | 87% | ▲ 1 | 82¢ | 91¢ | $1.10 | |
| Above 30% | 4% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 1.0K | |
| Above 40% | 4% | 2¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 314 | |
| Above 50% | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 10.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: tariffs, tariff, PM ET
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions