Continuing jobless claims for the week ending October 31, 2026

Kalshi Economy › Jobs Closes Thu 8:29 AM ET · $1.3K today · $2.5K traded · $2.4K at stake · prices read 33 min ago

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The odds

1,710median
1,6501,770
Median 1,710Middle half 1,697 – 1,723

How the odds have moved

Median: 1,711 on Nov 7, 1,710 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
At least 1660K 98% ▲ 1 95¢ $1.03
At least 1670K 97% ▲ 1 94¢ $1.03 2.0K
At least 1680K 95% ▲ 1 91¢ 99¢ $1.01
At least 1690K 89% 85¢ 92¢ $1.09
At least 1700K 68% ▼ 3 46¢ 66¢ $1.52 278
At least 1710K 50% ▼ 1 47¢ 52¢ $1.92 492
At least 1720K 30% ▼ 1 27¢ 33¢ $3.03 108
At least 1730K 15% ▼ 2 10¢ 20¢ $5.00
At least 1740K 7% 2¢ 12¢ $8.33
At least 1750K 4% ▼ 1 1¢ 7¢ $14.29
At least 1760K 3% ▼ 1 6¢ $16.67 1.7K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: jobs report, unemployment, payrolls

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  • Trump picks E.J. Antoni as new Bureau of Labor Statistics head after firing old commissioner amid weak jobs reportCBS News · 29 h agoUpdated on: August 12, 2025 / 3:52 AM EDT / CBS News Washington — President Trump announced E.J. Antoni as his nominee to lead the Bureau of Labor Statistics on Monday, after he fired the former commissioner earlier this month, blaming her…
  • The October Jobs Report’s Hidden Warning: 339,000 More UnderemployedForbes · 15 h agoThese aren’t primarily people choosing shorter schedules for convenience. They would prefer full-time employment but are working fewer hours because their hours were cut or they couldn’t find full-time work. An even more revealing number…
  • Four Things to Note from Friday's US Jobs ReportDrudge Retort · 36 h agoForeign-born workers account for all net labor force participation and employment gains since July. Manufacturing adds 101,000 jobs since December 2025, leaving net gain of 8,000 under Trump. Median and average unemployment spells are…
  • U.S. dollar holds onto payrolls gains, NZ dollar rises after electionCNBC · 23 h agoThe U.S. dollar traded not far from a 1-1/2-year high versus the euro and a seven-month high on the Aussie on Monday, after surging by the most in nearly six months on Friday as robust U.S. jobs data pushed up bets for higher interest…
  • Fed policymakers consider rate hike after strong jobs reportThe Korea Herald · 2 days agoWorld Fed policymakers consider rate hike after strong jobs report Published : Nov. 8, 2026 - 10:24:06 A stronger-than-expected US jobs report bolstered the case for further Federal Reserve interest rate hikes, which had lost some momentum…
  • East Bay residents continue protests as federal immigration deportations continueCBS News · 24 h agoCBS News Bay Area is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KPIX-TV and channel 5, CBS News Bay Area offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. East Bay residents…
  • Broncos’ offense continues to improveYahoo Sports · 23 h agoThe Denver Broncos are on a five-game win streak and head into the bye with a 7-2 record and temporarily atop the AFC West. The Kansas City Chiefs could retake it through tiebreaker with a win next week. After the game, head coach Sean…
  • Lens were humiliated by Como. The pain continued against Marseillethe Guardian · 12 h agoPierre Sage led Lens to second and glory in the Coupe de France last season. A lot has changed in the last six months The Lens striker, Florian Sotoca, was completely motionless as he looked into the middle space from the bench. The game…
  • Trump continues support for Hegseth despite calls for impeachmentCBS News · 25 h agoCBS News Chicago is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WBBM-TV and CBS2, CBS News Chicago offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Trump continues support…
  • Protesters speak out against ICE in East Bay as deportations continueCBS News · 23 h agoNovember 8, 2026 / 6:46 PM PST / CBS San Francisco Protesters gathered at Fruitvale Plaza Sunday to air their frustrations as federal immigration authorities continue deportations of East Bay residents. Some attendees of the protest, which…
  • Bournemouth continue winning streak with Ipswich winBBC Sport · 30 h agoEvanilson scores for the fifth Premier League game in a row as Bournemouth's impressive winning streak continued with a controlled victory over Ipswich. MATCH REPORT: Premier League - Ipswich Town 1-2 Bournemouth Up Next. 'What a result…
  • Liberia: CSA Boss Warns of Growing Graduate UnemploymentallAfrica.com · 15 h agoMONROVIA — Civil Service Agency (CSA) Director General Dr. Josiah F. Joekai has warned that Liberia risks producing more university graduates than its economy can absorb, citing a growing mismatch between academic qualifications and labour…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions