Average Wall Street bonus in 2026
$281,368median
$175,000$375,000
Median $281,368Middle half $264,545 – $293,160
Install
Continuing jobless claims for the week ending November 7, 2026
The odds
1,704median
1,6301,750
Median 1,704Middle half 1,690 – 1,718
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 1640K | 97% | 94¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 1650K | 97% | 94¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 1660K | 96% | 92¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 1670K | 93% | 88¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | ||
| At least 1680K | 87% | 82¢ | 92¢ | $1.09 | ||
| At least 1690K | 75% | 70¢ | 80¢ | $1.25 | ||
| At least 1700K | 57% | 52¢ | 62¢ | $1.61 | ||
| At least 1710K | 37% | 32¢ | 42¢ | $2.38 | ||
| At least 1720K | 21% | 16¢ | 26¢ | $3.85 | ||
| At least 1730K | 11% | 6¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | ||
| At least 1740K | 6% | 1¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: jobs report, unemployment, payrolls
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions