Cyber Monday · 2026 US online spend

Kalshi Economy › Jobs Closes Dec 1 · $72 today · $96 traded · $96 at stake · prices read 11 h ago

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The odds

$15.27median
$12.50$17.50
Median $15.27Middle half $14.80 – $15.69

How the odds have moved

Median: $15.16 on Nov 2, $15.27 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Above $13.0B 97% 94¢ 99¢ $1.01
Above $13.5B 97% ▲ 1 94¢ 99¢ $1.01
Above $14.0B 95% ▲ 1 91¢ 99¢ $1.01
Above $14.5B 88% ▲ 1 83¢ 92¢ $1.09
Above $15.0B 67% ▲ 4 63¢ 71¢ $1.41
Above $15.5B 36% ▲ 9 34¢ 38¢ $2.63 268
Above $16.0B 8% ▲ 2 4¢ 11¢ $9.09
Above $16.5B 5% 2¢ 7¢ $14.29
Above $17.0B 4% 1¢ 6¢ $16.67

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Cyber

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  • How to shop like a pro during Black Friday and Cyber MondayThe Verge · 14 h agoThe annual deal extravaganza can be overwhelming, but the right tool and a little patience can help you score big. Despite Amazon and other retailers filling the summer and fall months with more sales than ever before, Black Friday and…
  • France blames Iran’s Revolutionary Guards for cyber-attacks on supermarket fridgesthe Guardian · 13 h agoFrench foreign minister vows European sanctions against Tehran over ‘unprecedented’ hacks last monthEurope live – latest updatesFrance has said Iran’s Revolutionary Guards were behind “unprecedented” cyber-attacks on supermarket fridges in…
  • New Japan Cyber Regulation Changes Global Rulebook for Cyber Resilience@securitymag · 12 h agoI don’t think this is a Japan story. I think Japan is just far enough ahead on the curve to show the rest of us what’s coming. The companies that answer that question with evidence, not assurances, are the ones who’ll find the next few…
  • Cyber boss warns over tech vulnerabilitiesBBC News · 4 days agoThe boss of the island's cyber security centre has questioned whether so many household and commercial appliances need to be connected to the internet. It comes after dozens of European supermarkets were hit by cyber-attacks that increased…
  • Acronis Debuts First TRU Cyber Pulse Report, Mapping Modern Cyber Threats in 2026 and BeyondThe Hamilton Spectator · 16 h agoSCHAFFHAUSEN, Switzerland, Nov. 09, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Acronis, a global provider of an AI-native cyber platform for MSPs and IT departments, today announced the release of the inaugural Acronis TRU Cyber Pulse 2026, a report…
  • Conquering Cyber Risk Management as a Transformational CISOInformation Week · 18 h agoNow is the time for CISOs to step out from their technical ivory tower. By approaching cyber risk with a business risk mindset, they can bridge the gap between security needs and enterprise objectives. Related:Keeping Up With Data Privacy…
  • A series of cyber attacks rattles Francesemafor.com · 4 days agoA French bank said hackers stole €100 million, following attacks on a blood bank and supermarket fridges. A French bank said hackers stole €100 million ($112 million), a rare heist of a mainstream lender that has sent shudders across…
  • Cyber Risk Is Outgrowing IT Capacity, Magna5 Says@PRNewswire · 16 h agoNov 02, 2026, 08:10 ET As cybersecurity skills gaps, round-the-clock response demands, and rising customer requirements strain smaller IT teams, Magna5 leaders say mid-market companies need a security operating model they can sustain…
  • Report: Financial sector cyber losses could top $1.3BBusiness Insurance · 14 h agoCyber incidents cost U.K. financial services firms an average of 726,000 British pounds ($971,000) over the past year, potentially pushing total industry losses above £1 billion… Report: Financial sector cyber losses could top $1.3B Cyber…
  • Acronis TRU Cyber Pulse 2026Acronis · 25 h agobrings together a year of Acronis Threat Research Unit (TRU) investigations into incidents, malware campaigns and threat actors. The cyberthreats shaping 2026 and beyondCyberattacks are changing fast AI is helping threat actors automate…
  • Mike Denning Joins Trinity Cyber's Rapidly Growing Team@PRNewswire · 31 h agoApr 02, 2025, 08:05 ET Denning Joins as Chief Product Officer, bringing more than two decades of expertise in high growth product strategy at a pivotal time as Trinity Cyber posts record growth Denning brings more than 25 years of…
  • Defining Cyber Risk in OT: A Practical ISA/IEC 62443-Aligned ApproachAutomation.com · 19 h agoA risk is essentially the chance of something bad happening. That sounds simple enough, but in an operational-technology (OT) cybersecurity risk assessment, one of the first challenges is often not calculating the risk. It is defining…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions