How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
17%Above 0
-115
Install
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
The odds
44%Central African Republic
- Central African Republic44%▼ 12
- South Sudan21%▲ 2
- Tanzania20%▼ 6
- Ethiopia17%▼ 8
- Burundi16%▼ 2
- Rwanda15%
- Republic of the Congo15%▼ 6
- Somalia12%▼ 6
- Zambia9%
- India7%▼ 1
- Angola7%▼ 6
- United States6%▲ 1
2 more
- Canada6%▼ 1
- China5%
How the odds have moved
Central African Republic: 68% on Oct 20, 44% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Nov 9, 8 PM ETCentral African Republic: 56% → 44%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ Nigeria | 99% | ▲ 90 | $1.01 | 14.5K | ||
| ✓ Kenya | 98% | $1.02 | 47.0K | |||
| Central African Republic | 44% | ▼ 12 | 43¢ | 45¢ | $2.22 | 11.7K |
| South Sudan | 21% | ▲ 2 | 20¢ | 22¢ | $4.55 | 39.9K |
| Tanzania | 20% | ▼ 6 | 17¢ | 22¢ | $4.55 | 11.4K |
| Ethiopia | 17% | ▼ 8 | 15¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | 14.1K |
| Burundi | 16% | ▼ 2 | 15¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | 13.2K |
| Rwanda | 15% | 13¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | 48.4K | |
| Republic of the Congo | 15% | ▼ 6 | 14¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | 94.0K |
| Somalia | 12% | ▼ 6 | 11¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | 16.2K |
| Zambia | 9% | 8¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 9.2K | |
| India | 7% | ▼ 1 | 6¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 31.9K |
| Angola | 7% | ▼ 6 | 6¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 6.4K |
| United States | 6% | ▲ 1 | 5¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 103.9K |
| Canada | 6% | ▼ 1 | 5¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 17.0K |
| China | 5% | 4¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 35.4K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Ebola, Central African Republic, South Sudan
Search ›- Central African Republic Neighbours, Borders and TradeCENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC · NEIGHBOURHOOD The Central African Republic neighbours six countries, and much of what it buys, sells or fears crosses one of those borders. This guide explains who they are, what links them, and why Sudan’s war…
- Russia demands Central African Republic replace Wagner with Africa Corps and pay in cashRussia has urged the Central African Republic to replace the Wagner Group with its state-run Africa Corps and begin paying in cash for military ...
- Central African Republic to expand mining capabilitiesMining company CVMR has launched a mineral exploration, development, processing, and refining programme in the Central African Republic through its subsidiary CVMR Centrafrique. The initiative reflects a broader shift among…
- SLAF rescues three hostages in Central African Republic after 8 monthsSun, 01 Nov 2026 Today's Paper Colombo, Nov. 1 (Daily Mirror) - The Sri Lanka Air Force (SLAF) Aviation Unit serving under the United Nations Multidimensional Integrated Stabilization Mission in the Central African Republic (MINUSCA) has…
- Central African Republic builds relations with Russia as full-fledged partner — presidentThe republic is building relations with Russia in the areas of security, the economy, and personnel training, Faustin-Archange Touadera said - Russian Politics & Diplomacy Russian Politics & DiplomacyInto section â- Business & Economy…
- Russia helped Central African Republic when it was truly in need — presidentIn 2020, the republic faced a rebellion by the Coalition of Patriots for Change, which was successfully suppressed by the countryâs army with active support from Russian military instructors and specialists - Russian Politics & Diplomacy…
- Federal Judge Grants Return of Minnesota Man Deported to Central African RepublicHome » Trending » Federal Judge Grants Return of Minnesota Man Deported to Central African Republic In a significant development for immigration rights, a federal judge in St. Paul has ruled in favor of Kenis Lopez, a 44-year-old man…
- Ebola preparedness exercise exposes gaps in South Sudan’s emergency response capacitySouth Sudan’s preparedness for a potential Ebola virus disease (EVD) outbreak faces operational gaps in emergency referrals, sample handling, safe burial arrangements and essential supplies, findings from a national simulation exercise…
- Central African Republic has right to choose friends without permission — presidentThe country is diversifying its partnerships, President Faustin-Archange Touadera said - Russian Politics & Diplomacy Russian Politics & DiplomacyInto section â- Business & Economy Business & EconomyInto section â - Military & Defense…
- “Mining Slave” Warning in the Central African Republic Sparks Fierce Debate Among Chinese NetizensMany users, while acknowledging China’s difficult job market, argue that life is paramount and that no level of income justifies risking one’s life overseas. Others highlight low wages and limited mobility at home as key push factors…
- Strengthening food systems in South SudanIn fragile and conflict-affected states, nutrition is more than a matter of survival: it is a critical tool for building resilience. Since joining the Scaling Up Nutrition (SUN) Movement in June 2013, South Sudan has been working to…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions