Health odds

Outbreaks and pandemics, FDA decisions and the public-health questions traders are pricing.

47 open markets · $121K traded today

Trending health markets

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

7,304high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as 7,304.

  • Reaches 4,500>99%
  • Reaches 4,750>99%
  • Reaches 5,000>99%

Already reached: ↑3.5k, ↑500, ↑1k, ↑2k, ↑3k, ↑4k

PolymarketCloses Dec 31 · $4.7K today · $8.3M traded

Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?

44%Central African Republic
  • Central African Republic44%▼ 12
  • South Sudan21%▲ 2
  • Tanzania20%▼ 6
  • Ethiopia17%▼ 8
10 more
  • Burundi16%▼ 2
  • Rwanda15%
  • Republic of the Congo15%▼ 6
  • Somalia12%▼ 6
  • Zambia9%
  • India7%▼ 1
  • Angola7%▼ 6
  • United States6%▲ 1
  • Canada6%▼ 1
  • China5%
KalshiCloses Dec 31 · $10K today · $115K traded

Next pandemic

40%Before 2028
  • Before 202840%▲ 62
  • Before 203018%
  • Before 202916%
KalshiCloses Dec 31, 2029 · $174 today · $11.3K traded

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions