CA-23 House winner?
97%Jay Obernolte
- Jay Obernolte97%▲ 1
- Tessa Lynn Hodge3%▼ 1
Install
FL-09 House winner?
The odds
>99%Darren Soto
- Darren Soto>99%
- Dan Green<1%▼ 1
How the odds have moved
Darren Soto: 29% on Oct 20, >99% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darren Soto | >99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | 228.4K | ||
| Dan Green | <1% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 207.8K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: FL- House, Darren Soto, Dan Green
Search ›- Darren Soto on track to win re-election, holding narrow lead over GOP challenger Dan GreenDemocratic U.S. Congressman Darren Soto of Central Florida is on track to narrowly defeat Republican challenger Dan Green for the District 9 seat Tuesday, with less than a single percentage point between them. Soto and the Florida…
- Darren Soto, Dan Green face off in redrawn Florida District 9 raceKISSIMMEE, Fla. – One of the most closely watched congressional races in Central Florida is unfolding in District 9 — a newly redrawn district that now stretches across 5,500 square miles. Democratic incumbent Rep. Darren Soto is fighting…
- Darren Soto holds lead over Dan Green despite CD 9 gerrymander, but heads for recountDemocratic U.S. Rep. Darren Soto held a narrow lead over Republican challenger Dan Green, defying seeming doom after Gov. Ron DeSantis’ attempt to draw him out of Congress. But he finished Election Day clinging to a lead small enough to…
- Rep. Darren Soto speaks at Election Night partyFOX 35 Orlando Rep. Darren Soto is running for Florida's ninth congressional seat, he is up against candidate Dan Green. Political analysts Mike Miller and Rishi Bagga talk about how redistricting has brought challenged to Soto.
- Darren Soto banks on narrow lead for District 9FOX 35 Orlando Incumbent Darren Soto claims victory over the race for District 9 even as results are waiting to be called. Soto is feeling confident even after the state legislature's redrawing of district lines.
- Democrats cut GOP majority in FL House despite Republicans sweeping statewide racesTALLAHASSEE, Fla. (WCTV/Gray Florida Capital Bureau) - Florida Republicans swept all statewide races on Tuesday, but, down ballot, Democrats cut the GOP’s majority in the Florida House to its smallest in decades. Florida was largely…
- Congressman Darren Soto visits IRC businesses, churches, nonprofitsINDIAN RIVER COUNTY — U.S. Rep. Darren Soto, the five-term Democratic congressman running in the newly redrawn 9th Congressional District covering Indian River County, spoke with local business owners, church officials, nonprofit leaders…
- Soto wins 9th Congressional seatU.S. Rep. Darrin Soto speaks to Highlands County Democrats in August. He will return to Congress despite being gerrymandered in May. Incumbent U.S. Rep. Darren Soto, who found himself gerrymandered into a much larger Florida Congressional…
- Florida election results 2026: Who won governor, US Senate races? Did Amendment 3 pass?TAMPA, Fla. - Florida voters headed to the polls on Tuesday to cast their ballots for a number of key races, including governor, attorney general, a U.S. Senate seat, and three amendments. The results are in – and most of Florida's races…
- US House District 9: Will there be a recount? Osceola County set to submit election results for state to decideOSCEOLA COUNTY, Fla. – The race to represent Congressional District 9 continues. It remains undecided days after polls closed, with election offices on a critical deadline to submit results to the state. While Democratic incumbent Darren…
- Redrawn districts in Florida fail to stop DemocratsSoto vs. Green race offically not called At WGCU, we believe our stories should be accessible to all. We are aligning our digital platforms with ADA standards. If this content isn’t working, contact [email protected] or (239)…
- Uncounted ballots could trigger recounts in two Congressional races, but reversal unlikelyHundreds of uncounted ballots could send a pair of undecided midterm races in Central Florida to recounts this week. Under Florida law, mandatory recounts are triggered if the second-place candidate is within 0.5% of the first-place…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions