US recession by end of 2026?
4%chance
Install
Average Iowa farmland value in the 2026 ISU survey
The odds
$11,875median
$11,000$12,250
Median $11,875
How the odds have moved
Median: $11,856 on Oct 20, $11,875 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above $11,250/acre | 95% | 94¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | 3.6K | |
| Above $11,500/acre | 85% | 84¢ | 85¢ | $1.18 | 23.2K | |
| Above $11,750/acre | 68% | ▲ 6 | 67¢ | 68¢ | $1.47 | 23.7K |
| Above $12,000/acre | 33% | ▼ 2 | 32¢ | 33¢ | $3.03 | 10.8K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Average Iowa
Search ›- 5 key numbers from Iowa football's 24-10 win over NorthwesternIowa football moved to 7-2 overall and 4-2 in the Big Ten after getting a 24-10 win at Northwestern on Nov. 7, keeping the Hawkeyes' College Football Playoff hopes alive. Iowa set the tone early in the game, getting a touchdown on its…
- 11 States Where Your 401(k) Withdrawals Could Go the FurthestLow taxes alone don't decide how far your savings stretch. When you picture retirement, you probably picture your money lasting. Where you live could change that math more than you might expect. State taxes, housing costs, and everyday…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions