Wisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026
456,512median
445,000465,000
Median 456,512Middle half 454,940 – 458,238
Install
Initial jobless claims for the week ending November 7, 2026
The odds
189,667median
160,000220,000
Median 189,667Middle half 184,000 – 193,092
How the odds have moved
Median: 191,803 on Nov 6, 189,667 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 165,000 | 98% | 96¢ | $1.02 | |||
| At least 170,000 | 98% | 96¢ | $1.02 | |||
| At least 175,000 | 98% | 97¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 854 | |
| At least 180,000 | 91% | ▼ 3 | 89¢ | 93¢ | $1.08 | 1.00 |
| At least 185,000 | 71% | ▼ 8 | 66¢ | 79¢ | $1.27 | 374 |
| At least 190,000 | 49% | ▼ 7 | 48¢ | 49¢ | $2.04 | 1.2K |
| At least 195,000 | 11% | ▼ 14 | 10¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 535 |
| At least 200,000 | 11% | 10¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 603 | |
| At least 205,000 | 2% | 1¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 633 | |
| At least 210,000 | 2% | 3¢ | $33.33 | 53.00 | ||
| At least 215,000 | 2% | 3¢ | $33.33 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: jobs report, unemployment, payrolls
Search ›- Trump picks E.J. Antoni as new Bureau of Labor Statistics head after firing old commissioner amid weak jobs reportUpdated on: August 12, 2025 / 3:52 AM EDT / CBS News Washington — President Trump announced E.J. Antoni as his nominee to lead the Bureau of Labor Statistics on Monday, after he fired the former commissioner earlier this month, blaming her…
- The October Jobs Report’s Hidden Warning: 339,000 More UnderemployedThese aren’t primarily people choosing shorter schedules for convenience. They would prefer full-time employment but are working fewer hours because their hours were cut or they couldn’t find full-time work. An even more revealing number…
- Four Things to Note from Friday's US Jobs ReportForeign-born workers account for all net labor force participation and employment gains since July. Manufacturing adds 101,000 jobs since December 2025, leaving net gain of 8,000 under Trump. Median and average unemployment spells are…
- U.S. dollar holds onto payrolls gains, NZ dollar rises after electionThe U.S. dollar traded not far from a 1-1/2-year high versus the euro and a seven-month high on the Aussie on Monday, after surging by the most in nearly six months on Friday as robust U.S. jobs data pushed up bets for higher interest…
- Fed policymakers consider rate hike after strong jobs reportWorld Fed policymakers consider rate hike after strong jobs report Published : Nov. 8, 2026 - 10:24:06 A stronger-than-expected US jobs report bolstered the case for further Federal Reserve interest rate hikes, which had lost some momentum…
- Chiefs' Initial Week 9 PFF Grades: Kansas City Dominates in the TrenchesThe Kansas City Chiefs took care of business on Sunday afternoon inside Arrowhead Stadium. It wasn't pretty in the first half, but the Chiefs eventually found a rhythm in their 35-12 win over the New York Jets. Kansas City outscored the…
- DISA Releases Initial Zero Trust Reference ArchitectureThe Defense Information Systems Agency finished the initial version of its zero-trust reference architecture for cybersecurity, according to a May 13 press release. “The intent and focus of zero-trust frameworks is to design architectures…
- Air France receives final Airbus A220-300 from initial 2019 orderAir France has received its 60th Airbus A220-300 from an order initially placed in 2019 to gradually replace its A318 and A319 fleet. On November 6, 2026, Air France said its 60th Airbus A220, registered F-HOZJ and named ‘Mimizan’, joined…
- Liberia: CSA Boss Warns of Growing Graduate UnemploymentMONROVIA — Civil Service Agency (CSA) Director General Dr. Josiah F. Joekai has warned that Liberia risks producing more university graduates than its economy can absorb, citing a growing mismatch between academic qualifications and labour…
- Starbucks plans to hire 7,500 staff in major UK expansion planCoffee shop chain targets growth north of London with extra 500 outlets in big boost for youth employment Starbucks has set out plans to hire 7,500 new baristas over the next five years, in a boost to youth employment as the chain pins…
- CervoMed presents initial data from neflamapimod trialCervoMed (CRVO) announced initial data showing a reduction in mean plasma levels of neurofilament light chain, or NfL, a key biomarker of neuron... CervoMed presents initial data from neflamapimod trial CervoMed (CRVO) announced initial…
- October Hiring Blowout Drives Veterans’ Unemployment Down to Stunning 2.7%Veterans received strikingly good employment news in October as their jobless rate plunged to 2.7%, according to the monthly jobs report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Employers added 165,000 hires during the month, crushing market…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions