Average Wall Street bonus in 2026
$281,368median
$175,000$375,000
Median $281,368Middle half $264,545 – $293,160
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Initial jobless claims for the week ending November 14, 2026
The odds
196,042median
170,000230,000
Median 196,042Middle half 190,833 – 202,500
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 175,000 | 97% | 95¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 25.00 | |
| At least 180,000 | 96% | 93¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 185,000 | 91% | 87¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | ||
| At least 190,000 | 79% | 75¢ | 83¢ | $1.20 | 15.00 | |
| At least 195,000 | 55% | 54¢ | 56¢ | $1.79 | 54.00 | |
| At least 200,000 | 31% | 30¢ | 32¢ | $3.13 | 50.00 | |
| At least 205,000 | 19% | 15¢ | 23¢ | $4.35 | 24.00 | |
| At least 210,000 | 5% | 3¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 151 | |
| At least 215,000 | 4% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | ||
| At least 220,000 | 3% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | ||
| At least 225,000 | 2% | 3¢ | $33.33 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: jobs report, unemployment, payrolls
Search ›- Trump urged Jensen Huang to keep fighting for his job: reportNov 13, 2026, 5:58 AM ETNVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) StockBy: Pratyush Thakur, SA News EditorKevin Dietsch/Getty Images News President Donald Trump called former Nvidia (NVDA) chief Jensen Huang on Tuesday and urged him to keep fighting for…
- Trump called Jensen Huang, urged him to fight for Nvidia top job: ReportHomeWorldTrump called Jensen Huang, urged him to fight for Nvidia top job: ReportTrump called Jensen Huang, urged him to fight for Nvidia top job: Report Donald Trump urged Jensen Huang to fight to retain Nvidia's leadership. His…
- ‘I’m in the trenches’: The payroll processor on her own front lineAndrew Edgecliffe-JohnsonCEO Editor, SemaforNov 13, 2026, 4:45am ESTCEO SignalBusinessPostEmailWhatsappThis article first appeared in The CEO Signal. Request an invitation. The Signal Insight Jennifer Morgan, who became the first female…
- Higher Payroll Taxes Could Keep Social Security Safe Until 2059-Report...By Suzanne BlakeReporter Newsweek is a Trust Project memberSee more of our trusted coverage when you search.to see more of our trusted coverage when you search.A larger share of Americans' income subject to payroll taxes could…
- Aldi UK Restructuring To Impact Over 100 Head Office Jobs - ReportsAdvertisement Retail Aldi UK Restructuring To Impact Over 100 Head Office Jobs - Reports November 11, 2026 11:24 AM By Dayeeta Das Prefer ESM Magazine on Google Share this article Share this article Discounter Aldi is reportedly planning…
- Doña Ana County says Project Jupiter missed job report deadlinesNew Mexico Doña Ana County says Project Jupiter missed job report deadlines KVIA By Lauren Bly Published November 11, 2026 12:55 PM DOÑA ANA COUNTY, N.N. (KVIA) -- On Tuesday, the Doña Ana County Board of Commissioners voted unanimously to…
- Jumbo Package: Alabama football at Vanderbilt initial injury reportStory byJumbo Package: Alabama football at Vanderbilt initial injury report Story by Jumbo Package: Alabama football at Vanderbilt initial injury report BATON ROUGE, LOUISIANA - NOVEMBER 07: Keelon Russell #12 of the Alabama Crimson Tide…
- Building Resilient Ingestion Pipelines for Messy Excel Payroll ExportsM Maaz Ul Haq for DataSort Posted on Nov 11 Originally published at datasort.app Building Resilient Ingestion Pipelines for Messy Excel Payroll Exports #excel #payroll #datacleaning #adp Every quarter and year-end, engineering and finance…
- Police dismiss pre-election jobs report filed by Jason AzzopardiPolice say they investigated claims that ministers handed out election jobs, and found no evidence National Election 2026 Police Employment 11 November 2026 | Mark Laurence Zammit, Jacob Borg | 5 min read Police headquarters in Floriana…
- Commercial agriculture can tackle youth unemployment – Ato ForsonAbout Us Privacy Policy Terms of Use Breaking News Explainers Listen Live Friday, November 13, 2026 Home NewsRegional NewsAhafo Region Ashanti Region Bono East Region Bono Region Central Region Eastern Region Greater Accra Region Northern…
- Global Payroll Growth Slows As Firms Juggle Fuller Order Books Against Outlook UncertaintyUS Economy Global Payroll Growth Slows As Firms Juggle Fuller Order Books Against Outlook Uncertainty Nov 13, 2026, 2:05 AM ET…
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All jobs ›Visitors to Florida in 2026
141.6median
134150
Median 141.6Middle half 140.6 – 142.9
Nevada visitor volume in 2026
49.9median
4655
Median 49.9Middle half 49.4 – 50.5
Vermont total milk production in 2026
2.52median
2.352.65
Median 2.52Middle half 2.51 – 2.54
Will Ohio manufacturing employment rise YoY? (2026)
67%chance▲ 5
Unemployment in November (Nov 2026)
4.09%median
3.6%5.1%
Median 4.09%Middle half 4.02% – 4.16%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions