Fed Decision in December?
80%25 bps increase
- 25 bps increase80%▲ 3
- No change19%▼ 4
- 25 bps decrease1%
2 more
- 50+ bps increase1%
- 50+ bps decrease<1%
Install
How high will softwood lumber PPI get before 2027?
The odds
252.0high with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as 252.0.
- Reaches 19099%
- Reaches 29020%
- Reaches 3005%
- Reaches 3103%
- Reaches 3203%
- Reaches 3303%
How the odds have moved
Reaches 290: 74% on Oct 20, 20% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 190 | 99% | 98¢ | $1.01 | 19.6K | ||
| Above 290 | 20% | 15¢ | 25¢ | $4.00 | 165 | |
| Above 300 | 5% | 2¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 1.3K | |
| Above 310 | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | ||
| Above 320 | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | ||
| Above 330 | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news
No recent headlines name this market's subject.
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All working families ›Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
83%chance▲ 7
CPI in October (Oct 2026)
0.2%median
-0.2%1.1%
Median 0.2%Middle half 0.14% – 0.26%
Wisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026
456,512median
445,000465,000
Median 456,512Middle half 454,940 – 458,238
Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
83,963median
79,00093,000
Median 83,963Middle half 83,354 – 84,653
Core CPI in October (Oct 2026)
0.18%median
-0.1%1.1%
Median 0.18%Middle half 0.12% – 0.24%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions