Fed Decision in December?
80%25 bps increase
- 25 bps increase80%▲ 3
- No change19%▼ 4
- 25 bps decrease1%
2 more
- 50+ bps increase1%
- 50+ bps decrease<1%
Install
Marcellus formation natural gas production in 2026
The odds
9.85median
8.7510.5
Median 9.85Middle half 9.76 – 9.95
How the odds have moved
Median: 9.83 on Oct 5, 9.85 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 9.00 Tcf | 98% | 97¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 348 | |
| Above 9.25 Tcf | 97% | 96¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | 2.7K | |
| Above 9.50 Tcf | 94% | 93¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | 9.3K | |
| Above 9.75 Tcf | 78% | 77¢ | 78¢ | $1.28 | 14.6K | |
| Above 10.00 Tcf | 12% | 11¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 24.3K | |
| Above 10.25 Tcf | 4% | 3¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 303 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Marcellus
Search ›- Marcellus Wiley’s attorney moves to drop him day after after new rape allegations emergeMarcellus Wiley’s family law attorney has made a move to drop him as her client just one day after the former NFL-star was accused of rape in a new lawsuit, court documents obtained by the California Post show. In a motion to be relieved…
- Marcellus Wiley’s attorney attempts to drop him after new rape allegations surfaceAfter new allegations surfaced against Marcellus Wiley this week, his family law attorney has reportedly moved to drop him as a client. The New York Post first reported the news, revealing that attorney Lisa Helfend Meyer submitted the…
- Ex-NFL star Marcellus Wiley accused of ‘viciously’ raping woman in new lawsuitMarcellus Wiley “viciously” raped a 22-year-old college student while he was a member of the Buffalo Bills more than two decades ago, according to an explosive new lawsuit obtained by the California Post. A woman using the pseudonym “Jane…
- Marcellus Wiley faces another sexual assault allegation in lawsuitAlready accused by his wife of sexually assaulting her, Marcellus Wiley is the defendant in a lawsuit filed Tuesday in Los Angeles Superior Court alleging that he raped a 22-year-old USC student in 1999. Wiley, a former NFL defensive end…
- Marcellus Wiley Hit With Bombshell Sexual Assault Lawsuit — Ugly Claims Include Telling The 22-Year-Old Female College Student To Get Tested For Nasty STD AfterwardWhen it rains, it pours. When there is smoke, there is usually a fire. Marcellus Wiley is having a rough 2026 that has been filled with multiple allegations and even an arrest. The former NFL player and sports analyst was arrested in July…
- Former NFL star Marcellus Wiley accused of 'viciously' raping woman in fresh legal blow after estranged wife's domestic violence claimsFormer NFL star Marcellus Wiley has been accused of raping a 22-year-old student during his time with the Buffalo Bills over two decades ago, according to a bombshell lawsuit. A woman, identified only as Jane Doe, filed a sexual battery…
- EQT, Range Merger Forms $50 Billion Marcellus Gas PowerhousePittsburgh-based EQT Corporation announced Monday morning it would enter into a strategic, all stock merger with venerable Marcellus shale producer Range Resources in an all-stock deal valued at $13 billion. The merger creates what EQT…
- Marcellus library keeps knitting for Samaritan Center going strongEagle News Online The Marcellus Library will again be collecting knitted hats and hosting a knit-a-thon in support of the Samaritan Center. Martha Williams who knitted 366 hats in 2024 for the collection drive. Many people knew May Arnett…
- From 27% to 2%: Marcellus learns to rebalance, diversify and buy dipsAfter five years of 27% returns, Marcellus Investment Managers’ flagship portfolio delivered just 2% over the next four. The experience taught the team three lessons: rebalance systematically, diversify beyond consumer and financial…
- Little Meatball, Big Heart: Paul Urriola on Marcellus, The Music Man and the Power of Singing TogetherBy Sarah A. Spitz Los Angeles, CA (The Hollywood Times) October 21, 2026…..Paul Urriola was three or four years old when his grandfather slipped the VHS tape of The Music Man into the machine. Robert Preston was swaggering across the…
- Vehicle collision investigated in MarcellusMARCELLUS, NY — The Marcellus Fire Department responded to a reported vehicle fire following a motor vehicle collision at the intersection of West Seneca Turnpike and Lee Mulroy Road on Thursday. Firefighters were dispatched at 6:20 p.m…
- Posco International Corporation agreed to acquire non-operated Marcellus position of Chord Energy Corporation for $550 million.Posco International Corporation agreed to acquire non-operated Marcellus position of Chord Energy Corporation for $550 million on September 16, 2026. A cash consideration of $550 million will be... Posco International Corporation…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions