Arkansas's 3rd District margin of victory

Kalshi Elections Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $9.2K traded · $2.6K at stake · prices read 3 h ago

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The odds

19.7median
737
Median 19.7Middle half 15.2 – 22.9

How the odds have moved

Median: 22.7 on Oct 20, 19.7 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Womack, 10+ pts 96% ▼ 1 38¢ 100¢ 1.2K
Womack, 13+ pts 96% 99¢ 1.1K
Womack, 16+ pts 67% 100¢ 2.0K
Womack, 19+ pts 56% 99¢ $1.01 5.6K
Womack, 22+ pts 31% 91¢ $1.10 3.9K
Womack, 25+ pts 11% 1¢ 90¢ $1.11 4.2K
Womack, 28+ pts 11% 96¢ $1.04 3.4K
Womack, 31+ pts 11% 87¢ $1.15 3.5K
Womack, 34+ pts 8% 30¢ $3.33 2.9K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Arkansas

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  • Rare Shih Tzu-pit bull mix puppy from Arkansas is ready for adoptionCBS News · 3 days agoThe Bond Between says he is one of five puppies of the unusual mix that came from Arkansas. The rescue is testing him next week because he may be vision- and hearing-impaired, but he’s romping and chewing like a normal puppy. Rare Shih…
  • Arkansas Explained: What is the legislative ‘supermajority’?Yahoo News · 24 h agoArkansas Democrats didn't claim any statewide or federal victories in last week's midterm election, but they made gains in the state Legislature that could have major implications. The party won 10 seats in the state House and flipped…
  • Arkansas Democrats weighing options for newfound leverage in state House@arkansasonline · 25 h agoAfter Tuesday's election, Arkansas Democrats are touting something they have long sought but haven't had in a decade -- leverage. That is because Democrats flipped 10 seats in the state House of Representatives, bringing their total to 30…
  • David Stults appointed to state board commission by Arkansas GovernorKTLO · 33 h agoTwo area men have named to a state board and commission by Arkansas Governor Sarah Huckabee Sanders. Mountain Home’s David Stults has been appointed to the Arkansas 911 Board. Stults, who is the Baxter County Office of Emergency Management…
  • Arkansas's top news stories | November 7, 2026Yahoo News · 2 days agoLauren Adams delivers Arkansas's top news stories for November 7, 2026, including the second annual Parkinsonism walk held at the Little Rock Zoo. President Trump on Sunday said the U.S. "took a giant step back in history" as his White…
  • A Defense Win for Americans and Israelis in ArkansasRealClearDefense · 2 days agoL3Harris, joined by federal, state and local officials, opened its newest solid rocket motor factory of the future in Camden, Arkansas. While America and Israel’s enemies in the Middle East are degraded, they are not defeated. That is why…
  • The blue wave splashes ArkansasLog Cabin Democrat · 3 days agoThe so-called “blue wave” didn’t engulf Arkansas Tuesday like it did much of the nation. But it did splash here, particularly along the state’s northwestern shore. The so-called “blue wave” didn’t engulf Arkansas Tuesday like…
  • Arkansas’ federal lawmakers prepare for busy lame-duck session before holidays@arkansasonline · 47 h agoWASHINGTON -- When federal lawmakers return to Capitol Hill on Monday, they will have limited time to complete a packed agenda that includes several high-priority issues. Arkansas’ federal lawmakers prepare for busy lame-duck session…
  • Know Virginia basketball's foe: No. 12 Arkansas RazorbacksRichmond Times-Dispatch · 2 days agoNo. 9 Virginia basketball heads to D.C. for a showdown with No. 12 Arkansas. Here are some quick facts about the Razorbacks and three things to know about them. Javascript is required to use this website. Virginia guard Elijah Gertrude…
  • Arkansas lawmakers say they’re looking at options to rein in Educational Freedom Account spending@arkansasonline · 25 h ago"Everything is on the table" in the upcoming legislative session for Arkansas lawmakers worried that state spending on the Educational Freedom Account program will continue to increase, said Rep. Andrew Collins, D-Little Rock. Arkansas…
  • Arkansas’ U.S. Sens. Boozman, Cotton accused of blocking Rudofsky’s nomination to federal appeals court@arkansasonline · 47 h agoProminent conservative attorneys say Arkansas' U.S. senators are trying to block the nomination of an Arkansas federal judge to the 8th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals. Arkansas’ U.S. Sens. Boozman, Cotton accused of blocking Rudofsky’s…
  • Conway Veteran Floyd Brantley Named November Face of ArkansasArkansas Radio · 3 days agoUrgent poll by Arkansas Radio. Pick an answer, add your email to record your vote, and we’ll send you the results. Floyd Brantley of Conway, a World War II, Korean War and Vietnam War veteran with more than a century of service, is the…

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions