Connecticut's 2nd District margin of victory

Kalshi Elections Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $2.7K traded · $1.1K at stake · prices read 8 min ago

Embed

The odds

22.4median
538
Median 22.4Middle half 15.2 – 28.5

How the odds have moved

Median: 21.9 on Oct 20, 22.4 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Courtney, 8+ pts 97% 99¢ $1.01 536
Courtney, 11+ pts 90% 1¢ $1.11 2.0K
Courtney, 14+ pts 79% 1¢ $1.27 55.00
Courtney, 17+ pts 69% $1.45 50.00
Courtney, 20+ pts 58% $1.72 50.00
Courtney, 23+ pts 48% $2.08 50.00
Courtney, 26+ pts 33% $3.03 50.00
Courtney, 32+ pts 14% $7.14 1.1K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Connecticut

Search ›
  • Connecticut election live results 2026The Washington Post · 6 days agoBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. The Justice Department…
  • Connecticut 2026 election resultsCNN · 7 days agoCNN Connecticut 2026 election results Live results: Connecticut Governor Follow live results in the Connecticut governor’s race, county by county, as votes are counted on election night. Governor results by county Live results: Connecticut…
  • Connecticut Election ResultsBloomberg.com · 7 days agoConnecticut voters are casting ballots for governor and the state’s five US House seats. Democrats are favored to win all congressional seats, according to ratings from the Cook Political Report. Democratic Governor Ned Lamont is also…
  • Connecticut Governor Midterm Election 2026: Live ResultsNBC News · 7 days agoSee how votes are shifting as results come in across Connecticut. Vote-shift comparisons are shown once enough of the expected vote is in for a township. Connecticut Governor Results 2026 See how votes are shifting as results come in…
  • Connecticut House District 5 Midterm Election 2026: Live ResultsNBC News · 7 days agoFormer Republican congressman Mike Rogers expressed confidence he would defeat Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed in the Senate race in battleground Michigan. “W The Justice Department is in the process of sending target letters as part of…
  • Connecticut House District 2 Midterm Election 2026: Live ResultsNBC News · 7 days agoSee how votes are shifting as results come in across Connecticut District 2. Shift to Democrats Shift to Republicans Arrow size indicates shift magnitude Vote-shift comparisons are shown once enough ... Connecticut House District 2 General…
  • Connecticut House District 4 Midterm Election 2026: Live ResultsNBC News · 8 days agoSee how votes are shifting as results come in across Connecticut District 4. Shift to Democrats Shift to Republicans Arrow size indicates shift magnitude Vote-shift comparisons are shown once enough ... Connecticut House District 4 General…
  • Connecticut senator Chris Murphy hospitalized after strokethe Guardian · 8 days agoDemocratic senator was at his son’s hockey game when he felt a numbness in his arm and was in Johns Hopkins Democratic US Senator Chris Murphy has been hospitalized after suffering a stroke. Murphy, 53, started feeling numbness in his arm…
  • Connecticut Sen. Chris Murphy reportedly "awake" and recovering from strokeCBS News · 8 days agoConnecticut Sen. Chris Murphy's office said the 53-year-old Democrat began feeling numbness in his arms while attending his son's hockey game, and he was taken to the hospital. It was discovered there that he had experienced a stroke. Sen…
  • Connecticut Dem Sen Chris Murphy hospitalized for strokeFox News · 8 days agoFox News Channel offers its audiences in-depth news reporting, along with opinion and analysis encompassing the principles of free people, free markets and diversity of thought, as an alternative to the left-of-center offerings of the news…
  • Connecticut Senator Chris Murphy is hospitalized with a strokeNPR · 8 days agoSen. Chris Murphy, D-Conn., has been hospitalized following a stroke, according to his office. In a statement on Sunday, Murphy's chief of staff, Allison Herwitt, said he is expected to make a full recovery. "Yesterday afternoon, Senator…
  • Election 2026: Connecticut General Assembly ResultsCBIA · 5 days agoCBIA Election 2026: Connecticut General Assembly Results Use this interactive map to review all Election 2026 results for the Connecticut state Senate and state House. All results are provisional pending certification by the Secretary of…

Related markets

All elections ›

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions