Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
49%Carl, 24+ pts
2160
Install
Florida's 5th District margin of victory
The odds
16.6median
235
Median 16.6Middle half 15.2 – 21.3
How the odds have moved
Median: 13.1 on Oct 19, 16.6 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rutherford, 5+ pts | 99% | 56¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 55.00 | |
| Rutherford, 8+ pts | 99% | 1¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 7.00 | |
| Rutherford, 11+ pts | 99% | 60¢ | $1.01 | 611 | ||
| Rutherford, 14+ pts | 95% | $1.05 | 397 | |||
| Rutherford, 17+ pts | 44% | 50¢ | $2.00 | 138 | ||
| Rutherford, 20+ pts | 35% | 64¢ | $1.56 | 186 | ||
| Rutherford, 23+ pts | 12% | 64¢ | $1.56 | 2.00 | ||
| Rutherford, 29+ pts | 6% | 64¢ | $1.56 | 20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Florida
Search ›- Recount happening for Florida's 27th Congressional District raceCBS News Miami is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WFOR-TV and channel 4, CBS News Miami offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Recount happening for…
- Sen. Ashley Moody talks Florida's GOP success on 'Fox & Friends'Sen. Ashley Moody joins Brian Kilmeade in Jacksonville Beach to discuss Florida's red wave, the state's GOP policies and rejecting the 'blue wave' during the midterm elections. Sen. Ashley Moody talks Florida's GOP success on 'Fox &…
- What's next for Amendment 3 after it passed in Florida?CBS News Bay Area Morning Edition Weekend 6am WBZ This Morning 8am CBS Colorado Mornings Weekend CBS News Los Angeles Weekend 6am CBS Miami News Sunday Morning CBS News New York Sunday 8am
- Byron Donalds REVEALS how Florida held the line for RepublicansFlorida Governor-Elect Byron Donalds explains how Republican candidates won in the Sunshine State despite heavy GOP losses across the country. Byron Donalds REVEALS how Florida held the line for Republicans Florida Governor-Elect Byron…
- Florida Governor-elect Byron Donalds details historic win, future of the GOPFlorida Governor-elect Rep. Byron Donalds joins 'Sunday Morning Futures' to discuss his election victory and the road ahead for the GOP after midterm losses. Florida Governor-elect Byron Donalds details historic win, future of the GOP…
- Florida congressional recount faces legal challenge from DemocratCBS News Miami is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WFOR-TV and channel 4, CBS News Miami offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Florida congressional…
- Florida attorney general reveals how he will work with Governor-elect Byron DonaldsFlorida Attorney General James Uthmeier joins 'Fox & Friends' to discuss his state's midterm election results, navigating economic headwinds and more. Florida attorney general reveals how he will work with Governor-elect Byron Donalds…
- Recount scheduled in race for Florida's 27th Congressional District amid pending lawsuitNovember 8, 2026 / 2:34 PM EST / CBS Miami The congressional race between Democrat and former CBS News Miami anchor Eliott Rodriguez and incumbent Republican Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar is officially headed for a recount. The closely watched…
- Angie Nixon reflects on Senate loss as Florida faces tax changesNovember 8, 2026 / 9:00 AM EST / CBS Miami This week on Facing South Florida, host Jim DeFede examined the aftermath of Tuesday's elections and the results shaping Florida's political landscape. DeFede sat down with state Rep. Angie Nixon…
- Florida governor-elect Byron Donalds seen hanging out with Fever star Sophie Cunningham at NASCAR raceFlorida Governor-elect Rep. Byron Donalds joins 'Sunday Morning Futures' to discuss his recent election victory in the Sunshine State. Donalds outlines his immediate plans to focus on affordability, the road ahead for Republicans…
- Florida Lt Gov Jay Collins urges Republicans to get back up like 'warriors' after midtermsRepublican Lt. Gov. Jay Collins, a wounded combat veteran who learned to walk on a prosthetic leg, says the GOP must regroup by reaching more voters and staying true to its conservative values. Florida Lt Gov Jay Collins urges Republicans…
- After GOP's brutal midterms, ‘Chuck Norris of Florida politics’ tells party to 'get up and fight'Republican Lt. Gov. Jay Collins, a wounded combat veteran who learned to walk on a prosthetic leg, says the GOP must regroup by reaching more voters and staying true to its conservative values. When an insurgent's bullet shattered his arm…
Related markets
All elections ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
6.45median
-132
Median 6.45Middle half 5.52 – 7.38
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
7%Strong, 10+ pts
737
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
48%Palmer, 18+ pts
1548
Alabama's 7th District margin of victory
32.6median
948
Median 32.6Middle half 30.3 – 36
Arkansas's 1st District margin of victory
37.4median
2451
Median 37.4Middle half 33.9 – 45.9
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions