Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
49%Carl, 24+ pts
2160
Install
Hawaii's 1st District margin of victory
The odds
50.5median
2760
Median 50.5Middle half 48.6 – 52.4
How the odds have moved
Median: 45.6 on Oct 19, 50.5 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Case, 30+ pts | 92% | 99¢ | $1.01 | 677 | ||
| Case, 33+ pts | 83% | 99¢ | $1.01 | 29.00 | ||
| Case, 36+ pts | 83% | 99¢ | $1.01 | 201 | ||
| Case, 39+ pts | 83% | 99¢ | $1.01 | 28.00 | ||
| Case, 42+ pts | 83% | 99¢ | $1.01 | 17.00 | ||
| Case, 45+ pts | 83% | 2¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 898 | |
| Case, 48+ pts | 83% | $1.21 | 36.00 | |||
| Case, 54+ pts | 4% | $28.57 | 1.2K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Hawaii
Search ›- 2026 Hawaii Midterm Election ResultsAP News AP’s guide to this state When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and graphics journalists simply tell you…
- Hawaii election live results 2026Breaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. Now Democratsâ blue…
- Hawaii's Kilauea volcano erupts once againLava shot more than 600 feet into the sky during Kilauea's 56th eruption in less than two years. The US president's promotion of Miller, a loyal partisan firebrand to be his new chief of staff sets up likely clashes with Congress. An…
- Hawaii 2022 Election ResultsMultiState 2022 results › Hawaii Another state… Alabama Alaska Arizona Arkansas California Colorado Connecticut Delaware Florida Georgia Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Maine Maryland Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota…
- Montana Copies Hawaii's 'Corporate Personhood' Law, immediately gets suedCurrent Articles | Archives | Search First Amendment Lawsuit Challenges Montana Limits on Political Speech Institute for Free Speech represents Frontier Institute, Frontier Action Fund, and Montana Republican State Central Committee in…
- Hawaii House of Representatives announces leadership for 34th LegislatureFrom left to right, Majority Leader Sean Quinlan, Majority Floor Leader Dee Morikawa, Speaker Nadine K. Nakamura, Vice Speaker Linda Ichiyama and Majority Caucus Leader Kiristin Kahaloa. HONOLULU (Island News) -- Hawaii House of…
- Hawaii’s GOP losses linked to ‘blue tsunami’Published 12:03 am Friday, November 6, 2026 By Dan Nakaso, Star-Advertiser George F. Lee / Star-Advertiser Ballots cast for the General Election were counted on the Senate Chamber Floor on Tuesday, Nov. 3, 2026 at the State Capitol. House…
- Sovereignty (Indian and Native Hawaiian) and Legal Scholarship (Searchable Database)This searchable database includes 5200+ citations to law review articles on Sovereignty in the Indigenous Community, including Native Hawaiians. In 2026, 385 articles were added from 2025. Documents were gathered through an electronic…
- Calls for more in-person voting sites in Hawaii persistFriday, November 6, 2026 79° Today's Paper Today • Updated 6:44 a.m. Drivers drop off ballots at the roadside collection boxes for the general election Tuesday at the voter service center at Honolulu Hale. DARRYL OUMI / SPECIAL TO HONOLULU…
- Nail-biter races for Hawaii Legislature seats produce shifting leadsPublished 12:04 am Friday, November 6, 2026 By Andrew Gomes, Star-Advertiser A few election races for seats in the state Legislature remained in limbo Wednesday evening with over 17,000 ballots from Oahu voters awaiting tabulation after an…
- Gov. Green announces Hawaii’s opportunity zones 2.0 designationsHawaii News Now Gov. Green announces Hawaii’s opportunity zones 2.0 designations Bill cracking down on off-property shopping carts advances at City Council False alarm triggers lockdown at Farrington High School Episode 56 of lava…
- Army, Partner Forces Begin Simulated Combat in HawaiiAfter days of preparation and staging across the Hawaiian archipelago, U.S. Army forces and their multinational partners began training against opposing forces during a Joint Pacific Multinational Readiness Center Rotation, Nov. 4. This…
Related markets
All elections ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
6.45median
-132
Median 6.45Middle half 5.52 – 7.38
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
7%Strong, 10+ pts
737
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
48%Palmer, 18+ pts
1548
Alabama's 7th District margin of victory
32.6median
948
Median 32.6Middle half 30.3 – 36
Arkansas's 1st District margin of victory
37.4median
2451
Median 37.4Middle half 33.9 – 45.9
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions