Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
49%Carl, 24+ pts
2160
Install
Iowa's 3rd District margin of victory
The odds
6.59median
-120
Median 6.59Middle half 5.76 – 7.42
How the odds have moved
Median: 4.48 on Oct 20, 6.59 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garriott, 2+ pts | 99% | 67¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 3.3K | |
| Garriott, 5+ pts | 98% | 99¢ | $1.01 | 1.3K | ||
| Garriott, 8+ pts | 7% | $13.51 | 365 | |||
| Garriott, 11+ pts | 3% | 29¢ | $3.45 | 4.3K | ||
| Garriott, 14+ pts | 3% | 27¢ | $3.70 | 2.3K | ||
| Garriott, 17+ pts | 3% | 25¢ | $4.00 | 201 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Iowa
Search ›- Iowa voters saw through Trump’s steel promiseBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. The government should…
- Iowa U.S. House Election Live Results 2026AP News Iowa U.S. House results: AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and graphics…
- Iowa Secretary of State Election Live Results 2026AP News Iowa Secretary of State results When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and graphics journalists simply…
- Iowa’s election results beg the question: Is Iowa a purple state again?Good Sunday morning….I hope you are having a great weekend. We’ve got a lot of stories premised off of questions like what’s next and what does the future look like? These are always important questions. In Johnson County, the jail bond…
- Iowa's next governor Rob Sand, facing GOP legislature, vows "I'm going to veto" culture war billsUpdated on: November 6, 2026 / 10:21 AM CST / CBS Minnesota Democrat Rob Sand won Iowa's governor's race Tuesday, defeating Republican Zach Lahn. Before the race was decided, he described his approach to governing this way: "Right wing…
- Iowa Gov.-elect Rob Sand comments on Vogue post about his modeling past: "Yes, I knew that"November 5, 2026 / 5:05 PM EST / CBS Minnesota Iowa Gov.-elect Rob Sand, who won Tuesday's election, walked runways for Prada and other fashion houses while he was in college, according to Vogue. Vogue asked on Instagram whether followers…
- USPS employee in custody after allegedly shooting 2 coworkers in Iowa post officeCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. USPS employee in…
- Iowa Democrats win governor, Senate and three House seatsAnnastasia and Devan Fox exit the Crossroads Pavilion Event Center in Sheldon after casting their vote Tuesday afternoon. Abi Bautista gets her ballot from Mary Dunn so she could vote on Tuesday at the Crossroads Pavilion Event Center in…
- Midterm election analysis: Is Iowa a purple state again?Democratic Senate candidate Josh Turek waves during an election night event Nov. 3, 2026, in Des Moines. Turek won election to the U.S. Senate. DES MOINES — Is Iowa a purple state again? Chris Larimer, a political science professor at the…
- Iowa candidate drops out and still winsDemocrat Eric Armstrong won his Iowa House race despite dropping out months earlier, a surprising result that adds to the political shifts reshaping Iowa. By Ned Parker, John Shiffman, Mike Spector, Peter Eisler and Linda So DALLAS, Nov 8…
- Iowa projected to have nation’s largest congressional shift to the left, study findsIowa’s new congressional delegation is projected to have the largest shift toward the left of any state, according to an analysis by the Institute for Legislative Analysis. The study estimates that the outgoing delegation aligned with the…
- Iowa Lottery Pick 3 Midday, Pick 3 Evening results for Nov. 8, 2026Don't miss out on the winnings. Here's a look at Sunday, Nov. 8, 2026, winning numbers for each game: Lotto America: 9:15 p.m. CT on Monday, Wednesday, and Saturday. Lucky for Life: 9:38 p.m. CT daily. Pick 3 (Day): 12:20 p.m. CT daily…
Related markets
All elections ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
6.45median
-132
Median 6.45Middle half 5.52 – 7.38
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
7%Strong, 10+ pts
737
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
48%Palmer, 18+ pts
1548
Alabama's 7th District margin of victory
32.6median
948
Median 32.6Middle half 30.3 – 36
Arkansas's 1st District margin of victory
37.4median
2451
Median 37.4Middle half 33.9 – 45.9
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions