Indiana's 2nd District margin of victory

Kalshi Elections Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $2.5K traded · $646 at stake · prices read 63 min ago

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The odds

15.9median
737
Median 15.9Middle half 11.3 – 18.0

How the odds have moved

Median: 20.2 on Oct 20, 15.9 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Yakym, 10+ pts 78% 91¢ $1.10 2.5K
Yakym, 13+ pts 71% $1.41 201
Yakym, 16+ pts 49% 59¢ $1.69 125
Yakym, 19+ pts 13% $7.66 4.00
Yakym, 22+ pts 13% $7.66 410
Yakym, 25+ pts 10% $10.38 625
Yakym, 28+ pts 10% 1¢ 73¢ $1.37 870
Yakym, 31+ pts 10% $10.38 100
Yakym, 34+ pts 9% $10.75 410

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Indiana

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  • Indiana GOP congressman calls Stephen Miller's promotion a mistakeYahoo News · 36 h agoU.S. Rep. Marlin Stutzman, an Indiana Republican, criticized President Trump's decision to promote Stephen Miller to White House chief of staff, arguing Miller should be fired after the GOP's crushing defeat in the midterm election…
  • Indiana: Pro-Second Amendment Bills Referred to CommitteeNRA-ILA · 2 days agoHouse Committee on Courts and Criminal Code: House Bill 1221 ensures that antique firearms, including black powder handguns, are treated consistently with federal law by exempting them from the background check requirements that apply to…
  • Lincoln Party Secures Indiana Ballot AccessState Affairs · 3 days agoState Affairs Pro Hello. What should we look at today? AI can make mistakes. Please double-check responses.
  • Indiana State Democrats elect leadership team following 5-seat election gain@ABC21WPTA · 2 days ago(WPTA) - Following an election that delivered five additional seats to the Indiana Senate Democratic Caucus, Senate Democrats elected their leadership team to guide an expanded 15-member caucus into the 2027 legislative session. Sen…
  • Beau Bayh puts Indiana Democrats back in winning column with Indiana Secretary of state victoryThe Chicago Crusader · 3 days agoHe breaks 23-0 Republican winning streak in statewide elections since 2014 A new generation of the Bayh family is a winner again for Indiana Democrats. Beau Bayh prevailed in the secretary of state’s race with about 51.4% of the vote in…
  • What voters want after Democrats’ big gains in Indiana@16NewsNow · 3 days agoINDIANA (Free Press Indiana) - As a Democratic voter in a largely Republican state, Ava Hadaway of Mishawaka has often felt like her vote doesn’t matter. “When it did matter, and we saw what we saw, it was exhilarating,” said Hadaway, a…
  • Indiana U.S. House Election Live Results 2026AP News · 5 days agoAP News Indiana U.S. House results: AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and graphics…
  • Election results bring new political reality to Indiana StatehouseYahoo News · 3 days agoFor the first time in a decade at the Indiana Statehouse, Republicans will not have a super majority in the House — and it's causing a major shift. President Donald Trump ’s victory sent a populist shock wave across the West. Now, Europe…
  • UPDATE: Jake Teshka wins Indiana 7th District State Representative raceABC57 · 3 days agoST. JOSEPH COUNTY, Ind. -- Two days after the 2026 midterm election and one local race is still yet to be called. Indiana's 7th District State Representative race between Republican incumbent Jake Teshka and Democrat Dr. Oliver Davis who…
  • Voters Change Indiana’s Constitution – TwiceInkFreeNews.com · 4 days agoINDIANAPOLIS – Hoosiers easily approved two constitutional amendments Tuesday, Nov. 3, including one that will allow judges to hold more criminal defendants without bail. Public Question 1 – the bail change – passed with 59% of the vote. A…
  • Indiana Democrats score big victories in 2026 midterm electionsCBS News · 5 days agoCBS News Chicago is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WBBM-TV and CBS2, CBS News Chicago offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Indiana Democrats score…
  • Indiana Voters Approve School Funding ReferendumsIJR News · 3 days agoThe midterms are focusing attention on both the cost of living and broader concerns about wealth inequality and political influence by billionaires and major technology companies. In California, a proposed one-time tax on billionaires has…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions