Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
49%Carl, 24+ pts
2160
Install
Kansas's 4th District margin of victory
The odds
13.3median
238
Median 13.3Middle half 9.33 – 20.7
How the odds have moved
Median: 15.7 on Oct 20, 13.3 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estes, 5+ pts | 92% | 5¢ | $1.09 | 21.00 | ||
| Estes, 8+ pts | 83% | 99¢ | $1.01 | 930 | ||
| Estes, 11+ pts | 65% | $1.54 | 691 | |||
| Estes, 17+ pts | 27% | $3.77 | 305 | |||
| Estes, 20+ pts | 27% | $3.77 | 450 | |||
| Estes, 23+ pts | 20% | $5.00 | 911 | |||
| Estes, 26+ pts | 12% | $8.33 | 244 | |||
| Estes, 32+ pts | 12% | $8.33 | 20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Kansas
Search ›- Kansas U.S. House Midterm Election 2026: Live ResultsThe expected vote is the total number of votes that are expected in a given race once all votes are counted. This number is an estimate and is based on several different factors, including information ... After a historic wave of…
- 2026 Kansas Midterm Election ResultsAP News AP’s guide to this state When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and graphics journalists simply tell you…
- Midterm elections 2026 live updates: Alaska, Mississippi, Kansas still counting votes after blue tsunamiAlaska, Mississippi and Kansas are still counting votes Thursday, two days after after a blue tsunami crashed over the midterm elections two days ago, handing Democrats control over both chambers of Congress. Follow live updates on the…
- Kansas Governor Election Live Results 2026AP News AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and graphics journalists simply tell you…
- Kansas Attorney General Election Live Results 2026AP News Kansas Attorney General results When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and graphics journalists simply…
- Kansas U.S. House Election Live Results 2026AP News Kansas U.S. House results: AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and graphics…
- Deep-red Kansas votes for change as patience wears thin with Trump: ‘The economy is really taking a beating’Bills have soared in rural state buffeted by tariffs and war in Iran – and Democrat Adam Hamilton’s stunning upset shows how deep economic frustrations run In 2024, Olson’s research led her to Donald Trump. She trusted that the then-former…
- Kansas U.S. Senate resultsLive results for the 2026 Kansas U.S. Senate general election. Track election results with real-time vote counts, county-level maps and race calls from AP. Kansas U.S. Senate results AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for…
- Kansas just elected a Democrat. His message to Washington? Be decentDemocratic Sen.-elect Adam Hamilton at an election night gathering Tuesday in Overland Park, Kansas. Austin Johnson/AFP via Getty Images hide caption Adam Hamilton made history by becoming the first Democrat elected to the U.S. Senate from…
- Kansas Votes Out Kris Kobach as Attorney GeneralJust dropped · Trial Balloon · Ep. 194 “Kris W. Kobach, Kansas’ Republican attorney general, helped to make claims of widespread illegal voting a potent political issue years before President Trump became the party’s leader,” the New York…
- Kansas election live results 2026Breaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. The Justice Department…
Related markets
All elections ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
6.45median
-132
Median 6.45Middle half 5.52 – 7.38
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
7%Strong, 10+ pts
737
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
48%Palmer, 18+ pts
1548
Alabama's 7th District margin of victory
32.6median
948
Median 32.6Middle half 30.3 – 36
Arkansas's 1st District margin of victory
37.4median
2451
Median 37.4Middle half 33.9 – 45.9
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions