Kentucky's 4th District margin of victory

Kalshi Elections Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $1 today · $4.7K traded · $3.1K at stake · prices read 3 h ago

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The odds

13.7median
045
Median 13.7Middle half 12.7 – 14.6

How the odds have moved

Median: 22.4 on Oct 20, 13.7 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Gallrein, 3+ pts 99% 60¢ $1.01 314
Gallrein, 6+ pts 95% $1.05 61.00
Gallrein, 12+ pts 95% $1.05 565
Gallrein, 15+ pts 15% 49¢ $2.04 755
Gallrein, 18+ pts 15% ▲ 27 2¢ 48¢ $2.08 10.0K
Gallrein, 21+ pts 10% 0¢ 2¢ $50.00 2.8K
Gallrein, 24+ pts 10% 14¢ $7.14 2.0K
Gallrein, 27+ pts 10% 2¢ $50.00 2.2K
Gallrein, 30+ pts 10% 15¢ $6.67 167
Gallrein, 33+ pts 10% 15¢ $6.67 505
Gallrein, 36+ pts 10% 15¢ $6.67 250
Gallrein, 39+ pts 10% 15¢ $6.67 68.00
Gallrein, 42+ pts 10% 15¢ $6.67 3.6K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Kentucky

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  • Kentucky U.S. House Election Live Results 2026AP News · 3 days agoAP News Kentucky U.S. House results: AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and graphics…
  • Kentucky House District 1 Midterm Election 2026: Live ResultsNBC News · 4 days agoDemocratic victories in red and battleground states, fueled in large part by opposition to Trump’s policies, propelled the party to win control of both the House and the Senate. After a historic wave of Democratic victories last night…
  • Special Olympics Kentucky hosts state flag football tournament in WinchesterYahoo News · 34 h agoNearly 200 Special Olympics athletes hit the gridiron Sunday in Winchester, competing in the Simon Cecil Memorial Kentucky State Flag Football Tournament. The woman says she was flown to the Fayed family's Balnagown estate, where she was…
  • Slideshow: Tennessee football beats Kentucky 34-6Yahoo News · 3 days agoThe Tennessee Volunteers beat the Kentucky Wildcats 34-6 during a game at Neyland Stadium in Knoxville, Tenn., on Saturday, Nov. 7, 2026. West Northamptonshire Council's cabinet will discuss masterplans for two towns on Tuesday. Fire broke…
  • James Madison Kentucky BasketballIdaho State Journal · 3 days agoIdaho State Journal Giving Machines returning to light up the holiday season in East Idaho Pocatello man charged with second-degree murder in samurai sword stabbing of neighbor, police say Kentucky's Milan Momcilovic warms up before an…
  • Kentucky election decided by coin toss after both candidates scored same number of votesDaily Mail · 23 h agoA Kentucky election was decided by the flip of a coin after two candidates received exactly the same number of votes. Democrat Kristen Fryman emerged victorious over Republican Benny Ray Renner in an extraordinary election showdown that…
  • Rescuers describe grueling search for 6-year-old Kentucky boy and moment he was foundCBS News · 5 days agoCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Rescuers describe…
  • Voter participation in Kentucky’s 2026 electionkaco · 3 days agoA total of 1,447,030 Kentuckians cast ballots in the 2026 general election, voting in races for county, state and federal offices. Election results and voter turnout information by county can be found on the Kentucky Secretary of State’s…
  • Kentucky Becomes 45th State to End Sales Taxes on Gold and SilverMises Institute · 24 h ago(Frankfort, Kentucky) -- In a high-stakes showdown with Gov. Andy Beshear over a gold and silver sales tax exemption, the Kentucky legislature has deemed his attempted line-item veto as an illegal act -- and directed the Secretary of State…
  • Kentucky Lottery Cash Ball, Pick 3 Evening winning numbers for Nov. 7, 2026Yahoo News · 3 days agoHere's a look at Saturday, Nov. 7, 2026 winning numbers for each game. 06-11-12-24, Cash Ball: 17 03-36-37-56-61, Powerball: 21, Power Play: 2 This article originally appeared on Louisville Courier Journal: Kentucky Lottery Cash Ball, Pick…
  • Kentucky Youth Assembly gives students hands-on civics lessons@wkyt · 3 days agoLOUISVILLE, Ky. (WKYT) - On Tuesday, America showed up to the polls for the 2026 midterm elections. It’s a historic year for representation in office, as at least 17 women will be seated as governors, the most in U.S. history. Tennessee…
  • Kentucky Gov. Beshear addresses presidential run speculation after midtermsWLWT · 3 days agoWith this month’s midterm elections now concluded, eyes are starting to turn to who could run for president in 2028. Many names have been floated as possibilities, including Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear. Beshear oversaw Democrats securing a…

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions