Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
49%Carl, 24+ pts
2160
Install
Kentucky's 6th District margin of victory
The odds
89%Dembo, 9+ pts
-112
How the odds have moved
Dembo, 1+ pts: 40% on Oct 25, 99% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dembo, 1+ pts | 99% | 80¢ | $1.01 | 375 | ||
| Dembo, 3+ pts | 99% | 75¢ | $1.01 | 7.6K | ||
| Dembo, 6+ pts | 96% | $1.05 | 523 | |||
| Dembo, 9+ pts | 89% | $1.12 | 3.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Kentucky
Search ›- Kentucky U.S. House Election Live Results 2026AP News Kentucky U.S. House results: AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and graphics…
- Kentucky lawmakers hear concerns about school facility fund spendingFRANKFORT, Ky. (WKYT) - School facility funds must be kept in restricted accounts, and on Monday, Kentucky lawmakers heard concerns about how that money is being spent. Members of the Office of Education Accountability addressed a joint…
- Kentucky weather forecast: 9:20 a.m. 11/9/26FOX 56 chief meteorologist Justin Logan shares our Monday forecast with near-freezing lows expected this week. The disgraced entertainer was sentenced on Monday following a four-week trial at Southwark Crown Court. By Raphael Satter and…
- Kentucky weather forecast: 7:20 a.m. 11/9/26FOX 56 chief meteorologist Justin Logan shares our Monday morning forecast as we see a gradual dip into winter-like temperatures. The Senate race in deep-red Mississippi remains unresolved, as Democrat Scott Colom has mounted a…
- Kentucky law aimed at ‘ideological’ investing is being challengedInvestor groups are challenging a Kentucky law they argue would make it harder for shareholders to push companies to consider climate change, diversity and other issues in their policies. Investor groups are challenging a Kentucky law they…
- Democrats Finally Lost Their Last State House Seat in Rural KentuckyThe town of Pikeville is woven into the valleys of eastern Kentucky coal country of Pike County.Jahi Chikwendiu/The Washington Post/Getty Eastern Kentucky Democrats used to brag that when the 1972 results came in, Richard Nixon had won…
- Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear on Democrats' priorities after election winsBeshear discusses what Democrats should accomplish after their recent state-level victories and what those results mean for the party. Democrats are looking to build on their recent state-level election victories, raising questions about…
- Rep. Thomas Massie of Kentucky launches bid to impeach Defense Secretary HegsethRep. Thomas Massie moved Monday to force a vote to impeach Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, setting the stage for a dramatic vote on whether to remove one of the Trump administration’s most prominent figures following sweeping election…
- Rep. Thomas Massie of Kentucky files resolution to impeach Defense Secretary Pete HegsethMassie, a Kentucky Republican, read the impeachment resolution from the House floor just hours after it opened for the first day of sessions after the midterms. It largely focuses on the war in Iran but also includes references to…
- Heating bill assistance program LIHEAP accepting Kentucky applicants for fall subsidyWith temperatures dropping fast in the Bluegrass, applications are being accepted by community action agencies statewide for help with home heating costs through the LIHEAP fall subsidy. The effort will likely fail, but Representative…
- Kentucky House District 1 Midterm Election 2026: Live ResultsDemocratic victories in red and battleground states, fueled in large part by opposition to Trump’s policies, propelled the party to win control of both the House and the Senate. After a historic wave of Democratic victories last night…
Related markets
All elections ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
6.45median
-132
Median 6.45Middle half 5.52 – 7.38
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
8%Strong, 10+ pts
737
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
48%Palmer, 18+ pts
1548
Alabama's 7th District margin of victory
32.6median
948
Median 32.6Middle half 30.3 – 36
Arkansas's 1st District margin of victory
37.4median
2451
Median 37.4Middle half 33.9 – 45.9
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions