Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
49%Carl, 24+ pts
2160
Install
Massachusetts's 1st District margin of victory
The odds
28.9median
939
Median 28.9Middle half 27.6 – 30.8
How the odds have moved
Median: 26.5 on Oct 19, 28.9 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neal, 12+ pts | 99% | 13¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 251 | |
| Neal, 15+ pts | 99% | 1¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 21.00 | |
| Neal, 18+ pts | 99% | 56¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 85.00 | |
| Neal, 21+ pts | 99% | 60¢ | $1.01 | 326 | ||
| Neal, 24+ pts | 87% | 99¢ | $1.02 | 115 | ||
| Neal, 27+ pts | 87% | 60¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 389 | |
| Neal, 30+ pts | 28% | $3.57 | 107 | |||
| Neal, 33+ pts | 16% | $6.25 | 100 | |||
| Neal, 36+ pts | 5% | 10¢ | $10.00 | 900 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Massachusetts
Search ›- Experts discuss local Massachusetts election results, ballot questionsCBS News Boston is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WBZ-TV and channel 4, CBS News Boston offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Experts discuss local…
- Israeli held by Hamas more than 500 days visits Massachusetts, calls for release of all hostagesMay 19, 2025 / 5:48 PM EDT / CBS Boston Omer Shem Tov, a 22-year-old Israeli who was released after 505 days in Hamas captivity inside Gaza, sat down for a one-on-one with WBZ's Louisa Moller during a visit to Massachusetts this week. Shem…
- Voters reject Massachusetts Ballot Question 7 on single-family home lotsCBS News Boston is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WBZ-TV and channel 4, CBS News Boston offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Voters reject…
- Massachusetts Ballot Measures Midterm Vote 2026: Live Election ResultsThe expected vote is the total number of votes that are expected in a given race once all votes are counted. This number is an estimate and is based on several different factors, including information ... After a historic wave of…
- Massachusetts bishops decry governor's decision easing abortion regulationsMassachusetts Gov. Maura Healey speaks during a Boston meeting of northeastern U.S. governors and Canadian premiers June 16, 2025. Healey signed the Prioritizing Patient Access to Care Act (House Bill 5595) into law on Aug. 10, 2026. (OSV…
- Baker Vetoes Provisions Of ROE Act That Would Expand Abortion Access In MassachusettsDecember 24, 2020 / 4:09 PM EST / CBS Boston BOSTON (CBS) -- Gov. Charlie Baker on Thursday vetoed a bill that would expand abortion access in Massachusetts, citing areas of disagreement with parts of the ROE Act. There's been a push to…
- 2026 Massachusetts U.S. House District 9 election resultsResults for the 2026 Massachusetts U.S. House District 9 general election. Find Massachusetts and national elections results at BostonGlobe.com. 2026 Massachusetts U.S. House District 9 election results 99% of votes counted
- Massachusetts voters narrowly reject Ballot Question 7 on single-family home zoningNovember 6, 2026 / 12:39 PM EST / CBS Boston If it had been approved, the proposal would have lowered the required lot size for single-family home construction. Voters in Massachusetts were asked to decide on nine ballot questions during…
- Polish center marks 25 years in western MassachusettsThe Polish Center of Discovery and Learning celebrated its 25th anniversary Sunday with a special event at the Log Cabin in Holyoke. The Polish man suspected of killing six people in a shooting attack in Krakow, described as an "act of…
- Chair of Massachusetts Republican Party Amy Carnevale announces plans to step downNearly four years after being elected chair of the Massachusetts Republican Party, Amy Carnevale announced that she will not seek another term in the leadership role. Carnevale, who won her first two-year term in 2023, made her…
- Massachusetts bishops push back on governor’s move to expedite contested abortion law(OSV News) — The Catholic bishops of Massachusetts are pushing back on a decision by that state’s governor to expedite implementation of a controversial late-term abortion law — days after tens of thousands of voters called for putting the…
- Massachusetts voters narrowly reject minimum lot size measureMassachusetts voters narrowly rejected Question 7, a first of its kind ballot initiative that would have limited local zoning barriers for qualifying single family lots. Supporters say the results highlight voter confusion and potential…
Related markets
All elections ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
6.45median
-132
Median 6.45Middle half 5.52 – 7.38
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
7%Strong, 10+ pts
737
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
48%Palmer, 18+ pts
1548
Alabama's 7th District margin of victory
32.6median
948
Median 32.6Middle half 30.3 – 36
Arkansas's 1st District margin of victory
37.4median
2451
Median 37.4Middle half 33.9 – 45.9
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions