Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
49%Carl, 24+ pts
2160
Install
Maryland's 4th District margin of victory
The odds
78.1median
5891
Median 78.1
How the odds have moved
Median: 78.5 on Oct 20, 78.1 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivey, 64+ pts | 93% | 99¢ | 1.4K | |||
| Ivey, 70+ pts | 81% | $1.23 | 250 | |||
| Ivey, 73+ pts | 68% | $1.47 | 250 | |||
| Ivey, 76+ pts | 57% | $1.75 | 250 | |||
| Ivey, 79+ pts | 47% | $2.13 | 50.00 | |||
| Ivey, 85+ pts | 26% | 5¢ | 93¢ | $1.08 | 105 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Maryland
Search ›- Former Maryland Gov. Hogan calls midterms ‘complete and total rebuke of Trump’President Donald Trump bears responsibility for the GOP’s historic Tuesday defeat, “a complete and total rebuke” of Trump and his policies, said former Maryland GOP governor Larry Hogan. Speaking to CNN on Friday night, Hogan said American…
- Former Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan weighs in on Republican lossesCBS News Former Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan weighs in on Republican losses More wet weather in Maryland through Friday Two shootings in Woodlawn this week have neighbors concerned Man killed in apparent hit-and-run in South Baltimore Despite…
- More wet weather in Maryland through FridayCBS News More wet weather in Maryland through Friday Two shootings in Woodlawn this week have neighbors concerned Man killed in apparent hit-and-run in South Baltimore Despite Ravens struggles, fans continue to support team Maryland Sen…
- An unexpected activist emerged to help block a $5 billion data center in MarylandTaylor Frazier McCollum has been active in the opposition to the possible data center at the site of the demolished Landover Mall in Prince George's County, less than a mile from where she lived. If the project is built, the development…
- 2026 Maryland Midterm Election ResultsAP News AP’s guide to this state When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and graphics journalists simply tell you…
- Maryland Sen. Chris Van Hollen seeks answers on ICE custody deathCBS News Maryland Sen. Chris Van Hollen seeks answers on ICE custody death Baltimore County voters back changes to inspector general appointment process Randallstown neighbors say triple stabbing stemmed from argument and fight Baltimore…
- 2026 Maryland Question 3 Election Live ResultsAP News Maryland Question 3 results When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and graphics journalists simply tell…
- Former Maryland Gov. Hogan says GOP should view midterm losses as "teachable moment"November 5, 2026 / 7:17 PM EST / CBS Baltimore Democrats are celebrating their blue wave victories, but questions remain about whether there will be gridlock in Washington or whether the new Congress will find any common ground with…
- Marine from Maryland dies in training incident in JapanA U.S. Marine has died during a training incident in Okinawa, Japan, the U.S. military has confirmed. Lance Cpl. Devin J. Hernandez, a 25-year-old combat engineer from Maryland, was injured during fast-rope training at Camp Schwab on…
- Maryland shrank from the moment. Georgetown embraced it. | ANALYSISEd Cooley saw Saturday as an opportunity to rebuild Georgetown’s connection with Washington. Buzz Williams was left explaining another disappointing Maryland performance. New ‘Dateline’ episode covers Baltimore murder that drew national…
- Exit of Maryland’s corrections secretary long…Department of Public Safety and Correctional Services Secretary Carolyn Scruggs left the agency Friday, though Gov. Wes Moore’s office didn’t provide a reason for her exit. Democrats draw closer in 2 tight races for Anne Arundel County…
- Maryland Medicare Advantage cuts leave seniors scrambling for coverageThousands of Maryland seniors are scrambling to find new health insurance as the state loses one-fourth of its Medicare Advantage plans for 2027. Insurers blame Maryland’s unique hospital payment system, but state officials dispute… New…
Related markets
All elections ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
6.45median
-132
Median 6.45Middle half 5.52 – 7.38
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
7%Strong, 10+ pts
737
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
48%Palmer, 18+ pts
1548
Alabama's 7th District margin of victory
32.6median
948
Median 32.6Middle half 30.3 – 36
Arkansas's 1st District margin of victory
37.4median
2451
Median 37.4Middle half 33.9 – 45.9
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions