Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
49%Carl, 24+ pts
2160
Install
Maine's 1st District margin of victory
The odds
29.8median
1444
Median 29.8Middle half 23 – 36.5
How the odds have moved
Median: 29.5 on Oct 19, 29.8 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pingree, 17+ pts | 93% | 60¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 206 | |
| Pingree, 20+ pts | 93% | 9¢ | 100¢ | 55.00 | ||
| Pingree, 23+ pts | 75% | $1.33 | 50.00 | |||
| Pingree, 26+ pts | 63% | $1.59 | 50.00 | |||
| Pingree, 29+ pts | 53% | $1.89 | 52.00 | |||
| Pingree, 32+ pts | 42% | $2.38 | 142 | |||
| Pingree, 35+ pts | 42% | 4¢ | $2.38 | 2.0K | ||
| Pingree, 38+ pts | 9% | $11.43 | 240 | |||
| Pingree, 41+ pts | 9% | 30¢ | $3.33 | 2.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Maine
Search ›- Maine U.S. House Election Live Results 2026AP News Maine U.S. House results: AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and graphics…
- Maine U.S. Senate resultsLive results for the 2026 Maine U.S. Senate general election. Track election results with real-time vote counts, county-level maps and race calls from AP. Maine U.S. Senate results AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results…
- Susan Collins’s loss in Maine is a loss for the countryBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. She resisted partisan…
- Maine private schools sue Maine DOE over special education ruleWABI Maine private schools sue Maine DOE over special education rule Bangor movie theater employee brings characters to life to make moviegoers smile Graphic novel series features Joshua Chamberlain’s Medal of Honor story Maine’s CD2…
- How Democrats won Senate races in Texas, Michigan and MaineCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Inside Democrats'…
- Watch: 'Huge upset' for Republicans in Maine'Huge upset' for Republicans in Maine BBC 'Huge upset' for Republicans in Maine
- Susan Collins Concedes in Maine Senate raceNBC News Troy Jackson wins Maine Senate seat, NBC News projects President Trump speaks to various media outlets reacting to midterm results Rep. Debbie Dingell: If Democrats don't deliver, voters will send another message in two years…
- From Maine to Michigan, progressive candidates scored big wins for the Democratic PartyIn states like Maine and Michigan, Progressives delivered major wins that helped return Democrats to power in Washington. NPR's Elena Moore discusses what comes next. Democratic socialists and progressives won a lot of elections last…
- Maine sends Democrat to Senate for first time in nearly 40 yearsFox News Maine sends Democrat to Senate for first time in nearly 40 years Fox News national correspondent Bryan Llenas reports on the Democratic Party upset in the Maine Senate race, which brought Republican Sen. Susan Collins' 30-year…
- Democrat Troy Jackson wins Maine Senate race over Republican Susan CollinsNPR Democrat Troy Jackson wins Maine Senate race over Republican Susan Collins Democrat Troy Jackson defeated Republican incumbent Susan Collins for U.S. Senate in Maine, a crucial flip for Democrats.
Related markets
All elections ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
6.45median
-132
Median 6.45Middle half 5.52 – 7.38
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
8%Strong, 10+ pts
737
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
48%Palmer, 18+ pts
1548
Alabama's 7th District margin of victory
32.6median
948
Median 32.6Middle half 30.3 – 36
Arkansas's 1st District margin of victory
37.4median
2451
Median 37.4Middle half 33.9 – 45.9
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions