Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
49%Carl, 24+ pts
2160
Install
Minnesota's 2nd District margin of victory
The odds
14.5median
-228
Median 14.5Middle half 13.7 – 15.4
How the odds have moved
Median: 12.4 on Oct 20, 14.5 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Little, 1+ pts | 99% | 98¢ | 5.9K | |||
| Little, 4+ pts | 99% | 98¢ | 100¢ | 2.9K | ||
| Little, 7+ pts | 98% | 96¢ | $1.02 | 2.0K | ||
| Little, 10+ pts | 98% | 99¢ | $1.01 | 3.3K | ||
| Little, 13+ pts | 95% | 1¢ | 100¢ | 7.3K | ||
| Little, 16+ pts | 6% | 29¢ | $3.45 | 3.5K | ||
| Little, 19+ pts | 4% | 43¢ | $2.33 | 2.5K | ||
| Little, 22+ pts | 3% | 33¢ | $3.03 | 2.5K | ||
| Little, 25+ pts | 3% | 8¢ | $12.50 | 1.3K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Minnesota
Search ›- Newly elected Minnesota House leaders seek bipartisan cooperationCBS News Minnesota is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WCCO-TV and channel 4, CBS News Minnesota offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Newly elected…
- Minnesota U.S. Senate Election Live Results 2026AP News Minnesota U.S. Senate results AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and…
- Gas prices down; Finstad plans recount request : Minnesota TodayNPR The average price of gas in Minnesota has dropped back below $4 a gallon And Republican Congressman Brad Finstad says his campaign will pursue a recount in the election for his first district U.S. House seat. Unofficial results show…
- Minnesota mom to be sentenced for killing 2 young sons, arsonCBS News Minnesota is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WCCO-TV and channel 4, CBS News Minnesota offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Minnesota mom to…
- Man deported from Minnesota to Africa continues to fight for returnCBS News Minnesota is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WCCO-TV and channel 4, CBS News Minnesota offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Man deported…
- Minnesota, Wisconsin see worst measles outbreak in decades, and more headlinesCBS News Minnesota is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WCCO-TV and channel 4, CBS News Minnesota offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Minnesota…
- Minnesota health officials preparing for rapid spread of measlesCBS News Minnesota is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WCCO-TV and channel 4, CBS News Minnesota offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Minnesota health…
- Minnesota Governor Election Live Results 2026AP News AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and graphics journalists simply tell you…
- Minnesota Democrats say they want to bring down healthcare costsCBS News Minnesota is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WCCO-TV and channel 4, CBS News Minnesota offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Minnesota…
- Governor-elect Klobuchar indicates she’ll pick next Minnesota SenatorCBS News Minnesota is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WCCO-TV and channel 4, CBS News Minnesota offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Governor-elect…
- Minnesota weather: Frosty kickoff to the weekend | Nov. 5, 2026CBS News Minnesota weather: Frosty kickoff to the weekend | Nov. 5, 2026 Tied Spring Lake Park mayor’s race could be decided by a game of chance Alary’s launches weekend brunch, offers free entrees to veterans on Veterans Day Is a low…
- Memorial highway dedicated to slain Minnesota lawmaker, her husbandCBS News Minnesota is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WCCO-TV and channel 4, CBS News Minnesota offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Memorial highway…
Related markets
All elections ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
6.45median
-132
Median 6.45Middle half 5.52 – 7.38
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
7%Strong, 10+ pts
737
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
48%Palmer, 18+ pts
1548
Alabama's 7th District margin of victory
32.6median
948
Median 32.6Middle half 30.3 – 36
Arkansas's 1st District margin of victory
37.4median
2451
Median 37.4Middle half 33.9 – 45.9
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions