Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
49%Carl, 24+ pts
2160
Install
Missouri's 3rd District margin of victory
The odds
17.6median
232
Median 17.6Middle half 12.3 – 22.4
How the odds have moved
Median: 18.5 on Oct 19, 17.6 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republicans, 5+ pts | 93% | 1¢ | 99¢ | 91.00 | ||
| Republicans, 8+ pts | 86% | $1.16 | 55.00 | |||
| Republicans, 11+ pts | 79% | $1.27 | 450 | |||
| Republicans, 14+ pts | 70% | $1.43 | 389 | |||
| Republicans, 20+ pts | 37% | 99¢ | $1.01 | 293 | ||
| Republicans, 23+ pts | 22% | $4.55 | 11.00 | |||
| Republicans, 26+ pts | 20% | $5.13 | 849 | |||
| Republicans, 29+ pts | 20% | $5.13 | 58.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Missouri
Search ›- Missouri U.S. House Midterm Election 2026: Live ResultsThe expected vote is the total number of votes that are expected in a given race once all votes are counted. This number is an estimate and is based on several different factors, including information ... After a historic wave of…
- 2026 Missouri Midterm Election ResultsAP News AP’s guide to this state When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and graphics journalists simply tell you…
- Report: 38% of Missouri families don't make enough to surviveA new report in Missouri shows how much families may really be struggling. The United Way report says 38 percent of Missouri families don't make enough to survive in the current economy with rising inflation. The US president said he spoke…
- Missouri NOx Rule Excludes Tribal LandsThe Missouri NOx rule became federally enforceable on November 2, 2026, after the EPA finalized revisions to Missouri’s State Implementation Plan for large stationary internal combustion engines. The regulation matters for pollution…
- What two surprise Democratic victories reveal about Missouri’s blue waveSuzanne Luther has already picked out this year's Christmas card. A TV ad, she said, was worse. Finally, the ad cut to her Republican opponent, Shane Kampeter, enjoying a park with his family. "It was irritating," she told me Thursday. But…
- Democrats break Missouri GOP supermajority with wins in state House and SenateLEE'S SUMMIT, Mo. — The Democratic Party celebrated major wins across the country on election night, including on both sides of the state line. While Republicans still hold the majority in both Missouri's House and Senate, the…
- US midterms show backlash against local data centers, Missouri moratorium possibleEstefano Gomez is an editor at Crypto Briefing specializing in blockchain analysis, DeFi, and the intersection of crypto and digital art. He previously served as Editor in Chief at Interesante for over three years, where he covered…
- Ballot access requirements for presidential candidates in MissouriPlease complete the Captcha above Share this page There are three basic methods by which an individual may become a candidate for president of the United States. The information on this page applies only to presidential candidates. For…
- Missouri Lottery Pick 3, Pick 4 winning numbers for Nov. 8, 2026Here's a look at Nov. 8, 2026, results for each game: Mega Millions: 10 p.m. Tuesday and Friday. Pick 4: 12:45 p.m. (Midday) and 8:59 p.m. (Evening) daily. Cash4Life: 8 p.m. daily. Cash Pop: 8 a.m. (Early Bird), 11 a.m. (Late Morning), 3…
- How a ‘flaming liberal’ podcast host won a US House seat in conservative MissouriFred Wellman, host of the progressive podcast On Democracy, defeated longtime incumbent Republican Ann Wagner Fred Wellman’s victory in Missouri’s second congressional district on Tuesday was such a surprise that NBC News’s star data…
- Supreme Court Won’t Revive Missouri Law Blocking Federal Gun LawsThe U.S. Supreme Court on Oct. 6 decided not to take up Missouri’s bid to reinstate a stalled state law that prevents police from enforcing certain federal firearms laws. The law, signed in 2021 by Missouri’s then-Gov. Mike Parson, a…
- ‘It’s a huge relief’: Planned Parenthood reacts to rejection of Missouri Amendment 3JEFFERSON CITY, Mo. (KQTV) -- Planned Parenthood is calling Missouri Amendment 3 a win for Missouri after voters rejected it on November 3. Emily Wales, President/CEO of Planned Parenthood Great Plains, reflected on the passage of…
Related markets
All elections ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
6.45median
-132
Median 6.45Middle half 5.52 – 7.38
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
7%Strong, 10+ pts
737
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
48%Palmer, 18+ pts
1548
Alabama's 7th District margin of victory
32.6median
948
Median 32.6Middle half 30.3 – 36
Arkansas's 1st District margin of victory
37.4median
2451
Median 37.4Middle half 33.9 – 45.9
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions