Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
49%Carl, 24+ pts
2160
Install
Missouri's 4th District margin of victory
The odds
26.7median
235
Median 26.7Middle half 24.0 – 28.6
How the odds have moved
Median: 30.4 on Oct 20, 26.7 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republicans, 5+ pts | 96% | 21¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 108 | |
| Republicans, 8+ pts | 94% | 0¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 75.00 | |
| Republicans, 11+ pts | 93% | 0¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 555 | |
| Republicans, 14+ pts | 92% | 0¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 741 | |
| Republicans, 17+ pts | 89% | 1¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 582 | |
| Republicans, 20+ pts | 89% | 3¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 3.7K | |
| Republicans, 23+ pts | 82% | 0¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 1.5K | |
| Republicans, 26+ pts | 60% | 99¢ | $1.01 | 1.8K | ||
| Republicans, 29+ pts | 19% | 1¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 2.7K | |
| Republicans, 32+ pts | 19% | $5.25 | 120 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Missouri
Search ›- 2026 Missouri Midterm Election ResultsAP News AP’s guide to this state When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and graphics journalists simply tell you…
- How a ‘flaming liberal’ podcast host won a US House seat in conservative MissouriFred Wellman, host of the progressive podcast On Democracy, defeated longtime incumbent Republican Ann Wagner Fred Wellman’s victory in Missouri’s second congressional district on Tuesday was such a surprise that NBC News’s star data…
- Missouri Proposition A resultsLive results for the 2026 Missouri proposition a election. Track election results with real-time vote counts, county-level maps and race calls from AP. Missouri Proposition A results When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For…
- Missouri Amendment 3 resultsLive results for the 2026 Missouri amendment 3 election. Track election results with real-time vote counts, county-level maps and race calls from AP. Missouri Amendment 3 results When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178…
- Missouri Saint Louis BasketballCorsicana Daily Sun Missouri's Bryson Tiller (15) rejects a shot by Saint Louis' Quentin Jones (1) during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game Friday, Nov. 6, 2026, in St. Louis. - Clayton Tucker makes history as the first…
- Missouri election live results 2026Breaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. The Justice Department…
- Missouri Shatters Its State GOP SupermajorityIn Tuesday’s election, Democratic candidates made significant inroads with rural voters, many of whom have struggled profoundly due to the effects of tariffs, healthcare cuts, and the war in Iran. Jess Piper, Executive Director of Blue…
- Missouri voters block Republican-drawn congressional mapBREAKING: Democrats win the Senate to take full control of Congress Missouri voters blocked a GOP-drawn congressional map from going into effect for future elections via a ballot measure, NBC News projects. The result is a blow for…
- Missouri 2026 midterm results, what key amendments entailNetflix's ‘Unabomber’ misses the mark, blurs fact and fiction • 683 Views Sydney Sweeney's Novig Ad, a controversy worth talking about • 306 Views 4 bonus scenes and what it means heading into ‘Avengers: Doomsday’ • 185 Views Should you…
- New cannabis laws taking effect in Missouri November 12JEFFERSON CITY, Mo. (KQTV) -- Major changes to Missouri's cannabis regulations are set to take effect on November 12, 2026, following the successful defense of House Bill 2641 against legal challenges. Under the new law, any product…
- Missouri Republicans announce senate leadershipCOLUMBIA, Mo. (KMIZ) Missouri Republicans announced the leadership for the majority caucus in the 104th General Assembly in a Thursday press release. Sen. Sen. Jason Bean (R-Peach Orchard) was picked as the president pro tem, which is…
- Missouri voters turn down a Republican-backed congressional mapVoters Antonia Loomis, left, and Carl Jacobs fill out their ballots on Tuesday's Election Day in Clayton, Mo. Jeff Roberson/AP hide caption GOP lawmakers in Missouri had passed the map last year to try to oust Democratic Rep. Emanuel…
Related markets
All elections ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
6.45median
-132
Median 6.45Middle half 5.52 – 7.38
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
7%Strong, 10+ pts
737
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
48%Palmer, 18+ pts
1548
Alabama's 7th District margin of victory
32.6median
948
Median 32.6Middle half 30.3 – 36
Arkansas's 1st District margin of victory
37.4median
2451
Median 37.4Middle half 33.9 – 45.9
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions