Mississippi's 2nd District margin of victory

Kalshi Elections Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $1.7K traded · $1.7K at stake · prices read 45 min ago

Embed

The odds

29.5median
1242
Median 29.5Middle half 25.5 – 36

How the odds have moved

Median: 29 on Oct 19, 29.5 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Thompson, 15+ pts 94% 23¢ 99¢ $1.01 50.00
Thompson, 18+ pts 86% 26¢ 99¢ $1.01 55.00
Thompson, 21+ pts 84% 25¢ 99¢ $1.01 55.00
Thompson, 24+ pts 84% 26¢ 99¢ $1.01 1.3K
Thompson, 27+ pts 66% 27¢ 99¢ $1.01 455
Thompson, 30+ pts 47% 27¢ 99¢ $1.01 55.00
Thompson, 33+ pts 36% 27¢ $2.78 55.00
Thompson, 36+ pts 25% 30¢ $4.00 55.00
Thompson, 39+ pts 14% 17¢ $7.14 55.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Mississippi

Search ›
  • Mississippi election resultsAP News · 5 days ago2026 Mississippi Midterm Election Results AP News AP’s guide to this state When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election…
  • Dispatch from Mississippi (vv) | CNN PoliticsCNN · 5 days agoCNN's Annie Grayer goes inside a ballot-counting center in Mississippi as absentee ballots are counted. Democratic candidate Scott Colom and the state's incumbent Republican Senator Cindy Hyde-Smith are locked in a razor-thin Senate race…
  • How Mississippi became an unlikely Senate battlegroundCNN · 5 days agoAn unpopular president, a charismatic Democratic candidate and an incumbent who has underperformed other Republicans in recent elections have turned a US Senate race in Mississippi into the nail-biter of the midterms. As of Wednesday…
  • When to expect Senate results from MississippiBBC · 5 days agoBBC When to expect Senate results from Mississippi
  • Mississippi midterm elections results 2026BBC News · 6 days agoBBC
  • Watch: When to expect Senate results from MississippiBBC · 5 days agoDemocrat Scott Colom and Republican incumbent Cindy Hyde-Smith are in a surprisingly tight race for a Mississippi senate seat, as thousands of provisional ballots continue to be counted. If Colom wins the race, he would be the first black…
  • Mississippi election live results 2026The Washington Post · 6 days agoBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. The Justice Department…
  • Is Mississippi Really About to Elect a Democratic Senator?Rolling Stone · 5 days agoOf all the spectacular Democratic upsets in 2026 midterm elections — a statewide sweep in Texas, the first senator elected by the state of Kansas in almost a century, an underdog stunner in South Carolina — the most shocking victory of all…
  • The latest on the extremely close Mississippi and Alaska Senate racesCBS News · 5 days agoCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Latest on…
  • Mississippi Democrat Scott Colom defies odds, pulls further ahead in vote tallyThe Washington Post · 5 days agoBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. Incumbent Cindy…
  • When to expect Senate results from the tight race in MississippiBBC News · 5 days agoDemocrat Scott Colom and Republican incumbent Cindy Hyde-Smith are in a surprisingly tight race for a Mississippi senate seat, as thousands of provisional ballots continue to be counted. If Colom wins the race, he would be the first black…
  • 2026 Mississippi Midterm Election ResultsAP News · 7 days agoAP News AP’s guide to this state When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and graphics journalists simply tell you…

Related markets

All elections ›

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions